TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa042…62bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST4959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Cbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$524.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,184.98
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,129.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$900
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,584Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$615.99
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+123.5%+$1,491.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+278.6%+$1,250.99
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$511.71
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+119%+$815
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.2%+$359.99
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$421.5
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+86.8%+$1,068.98
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs 777 (BO3)backed Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$310
Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Shadows · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$863
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$91.33
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$195
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+169.6%+$1,446.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs SINQU (BO1)backed SINQU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)backed DEPO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$795.97
Counter-Strike: Team CS2NEWS vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$241.27
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$990
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$5,870
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$475.99
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$624.99
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,200
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$121.99
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+59.6%+$336
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$212
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.5%+$24.5
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$109.5
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$413.97
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,207.77
Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$87
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.5%+$133.6
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+60.1%+$83.14
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Dino Prizmicbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$135
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Justin Engelbacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Martin Landalucebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.5%+$52.11
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+131.2%+$309.84
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$524.99
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.2%+$108
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$204
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$337.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.