Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778fc8bb6f1cafcd096a0456a5c1987f4b29518b1290027589f1489359518d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 39,716$29,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,332.98 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 24c | 30,943$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,643.16 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.89 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No | 77c | 23,962$18,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,347.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…c821backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 16,991$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,088.84 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 13,737$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.21 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 13,643$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.7 | 1,358 | 48.3%656 W · 702 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 13,099$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,217.48 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 23c | 11,739$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 78c | 10,079$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,861.62 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 7,061$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 78c | 6,251$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.06 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…84febacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 4,547$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.45 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.45 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,525$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 58c | 4,396$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.46 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 34c | 3,769$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 3,624$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.82 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 78c | 3,062$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.96 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 78c | 2,937$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,585$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,561$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 77c | 2,357$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…56a3backed Yes | 46c | 2,347$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 66c | 2,311$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.33 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 2,156$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.34 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 77c | 2,017$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 19c | 1,988$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.74 | 183 | 23.5%43 W · 140 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,520$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 1,514$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.04 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed No | 22c | 1,401$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Yes | 23c | 1,243$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,223$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.94 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed No | 78c | 1,220$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 75c | 1,217$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.75 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.38 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 55c | 1,165$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 77c | 1,126$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 1,075$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 792 | 36.1%286 W · 506 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed No | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,006$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.79 | 203 | 26.6%54 W · 149 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 1,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 996.34$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.18 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 15c | 933.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 40c | 900$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.59 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 883.53$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.27 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 21c | 881.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.54 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 44c | 808$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 69c | 783$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 78c | 781.17$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.31 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 52c | 733.9$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 732.95$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.03 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…d292backed Yes | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 24c | 697.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…c301backed Yes | 76c | 661.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 74c | 660$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 27c | 641.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 23c | 630.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.43 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 23c | 630.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Yes | 24c | 625.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 77c | 621.53$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.58 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 32c | 610.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 78c | 607.54$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 594.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes | 52c | 590.18$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 545.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 264 | 30.7%81 W · 183 L | -21.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 536.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 47c | 521.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 22c | 508.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.77 | 325 | 22.8%74 W · 251 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…c963backed Yes | 23c | 495.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 22c | 483$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 22c | 480.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 41c | 460.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.