TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe02c…5d08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58,861.3
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.59
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$6,204.35
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,745.68
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.97
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,761.92
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$69,799.74
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$305.08
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$115.06
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,091.22
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.2%+$2,605.04
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.5%+$396.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$290.62
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$654.9
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.7
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$261.04
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,086Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$6,593.6
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,200
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+376.2%+$46.61
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$9,763.95
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73,958.09
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41%+$42,045.34
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.95
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,445.94
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.51
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$578.76
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$144.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,908.9
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$401.45
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,915.86
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+141%+$6,274.28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$576.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$331.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$6,217.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$139.84
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$912.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$139.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,145.72
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$623.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,106.54
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.61
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$128.69
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400.52
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,811Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+207.1%+$5,821.1
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$509.95
Big Game: First Team To Scorebacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,986Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.6%+$1,418.47
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$296
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100.8%+$4,373.11
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$620.42
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$9,844.78
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$159.84
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47.88
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$1,000
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,427.86
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.8%+$677.16
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$359.82
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,443.51
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$642.06
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$962.08
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$963.9
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,397.37
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41.47
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$98.5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.54
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$9,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,242.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26,441.04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$313.19
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.46
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$747.77
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$8,091.16
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$7,274.67
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,399.99
Will Solana reach $160 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,103.51
Will Solana reach $150 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$9,164.95
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,800
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$9,900
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,364.4
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,390
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,721Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+106.2%+$10,321.42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,488Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.5%+$4,117.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$5,600
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+283.8%+$4,918.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+185.7%+$9,750
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+115.3%+$7,598.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$402.35
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$1,085.49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.5
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,889.37
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.9%+$3,867.39
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$7,496.36
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$294.81
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,673Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,567.73
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.34
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,727.65
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,143.14
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28,927.46
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$93.45
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$417.63
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11,858.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$7,120
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+334.8%+$7,700
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400.9%+$1,124.67
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,530
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,251.9
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+978.9%+$169,023.73
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,441.44
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.11
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.12
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,757.13
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$8,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,138.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,035
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.27
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,808.67
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,269.62
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,949.68
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+59%+$1,120.37
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.81
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$595
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,429
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$335.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+39.4%+$2,860.41
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9,200
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+121.4%+$11,000.61
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10,600
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$221.26
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$55.86
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.86
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$77.05
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,203.47
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$95
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,180.64
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$70
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,930
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+564.1%+$63,866.41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$8,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,695.59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,798.58
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.79
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.81
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.57
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.97
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+222.6%+$77.28
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.58
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,190.63
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,702Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$6,039.84
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$7,399.96
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$251.27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,208.1
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$948.41
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,499.99
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$575.85
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,434Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64%+$11,799.89
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,772Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.5%+$1,336.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51,973Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.5%+$14,313.78
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,271.08
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,908Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$4,834.13
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$4,085.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$15.98
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.63
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+164.8%+$199.05
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6,103.91
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$86.87
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$193.57
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77.48
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,654.56
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.99
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,079.98
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$2,857.2
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,899.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12,715Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+205.4%+$26,121.54
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.54
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,821.49
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,096.52
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38,321.48
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20,487.95
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$590.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,790.99
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$466.06
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,636.49
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,377.87
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.5%+$2,647
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$811.99
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,285.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+30.6%+$562.05
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220.93
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$466.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,999.98
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26,852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$12,923.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.07
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$610.06
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$9.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.85
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$928.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.