TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88a2…d974backed Yes29c41,315$11,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,815.749636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c25,817$18,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,287.042,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c24,510$17,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.341,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c17,607$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.425752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No74c17,323$12,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.9810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes28c15,000$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.29845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c13,979$9,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.961,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c10,574$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.181,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c6,481$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.841,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed No72c6,300$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes22c6,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No72c3,563$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.643348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9805343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes9c3,281$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No73c3,181$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.765271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c3,139$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.0939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,082$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c3,050$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.997754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes29c2,097$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6081520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes28c2,078$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57810426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes10c2,043$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes17c2,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No72c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9614147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes3c1,900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.711029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424b…9fc8backed No73c1,859$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No73c1,830$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes28c1,807$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8411446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c1,789$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c1,703$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8833057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No71c1,672$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0615764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes7c1,406$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes30c1,336$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x971f…160abacked Yes28c1,300$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…9b21backed Yes27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes28c1,243$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4210330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes28c1,154$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.031020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes3c1,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No71c1,057$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.621965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No72c1,038$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.794065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No73c999.98$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No74c841$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.663881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.815364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c799.99$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No71c799.06$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No72c781.03$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.835276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No76c774.09$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.138853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes9c709.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.851,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes14c695.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Yes27c558$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d43…bc66backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes30c539.13$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.745030%15 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c522.77$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes27c511.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d19…bb47backed Yes27c510$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c498.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.234,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes9c489.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3211712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No72c449.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c436.76$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No73c421.24$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2429458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.678662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546d…b6f4backed Yes16c394.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.114626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes14c387.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes19c362.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.648047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c360$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes29c343.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes31c319.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes7c314.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No73c299.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.756546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes8c299.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes16c270$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.63517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No74c256.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.765162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes6c250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No72c246.77$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.18670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes6c244.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.567317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.