TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcccc…dbddbacked No72c34,455$24,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,657.473348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes29c15,287$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,906.924841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c12,003$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,642.421,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c9,676$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,870.141,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c8,797$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.54,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No17c7,213$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.8118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes29c3,271$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.532128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Yes77c3,231$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c3,214$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.422,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No77c3,070$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.586142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c2,791$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes70c1,688$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.438853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes31c1,615$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.873655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No14c1,598$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.497317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes28c1,558$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.8314147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No72c1,337$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.649763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,097$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.777332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c1,087$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.9627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes29c1,036$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No71c999.99$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.9953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No33c958.29$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c950$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No71c896.48$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c819.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.471,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.663941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes75c669.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6719732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No67c609.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.657753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes52c584.59$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No72c563.89$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4062373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c563.84$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.051,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c557.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.761,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes62c518$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed No72c514.25$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.262445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c512.66$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.614564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3556838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes28c499.58$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes68c497.92$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.157170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c496.86$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1911534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.787632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb865…b6e6backed Yes68c428.36$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57bc…d82dbacked Yes29c425.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes48c419.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.355955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes65c412.94$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.521070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8315543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.837241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8311446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes31c321.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.619534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6919654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c296.13$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes77c292.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0218251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No18c290.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed No71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes29c270$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No71c267.61$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c250$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes29c241.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3810757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes30c238.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.063135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c235.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xed57…99a3backed No70c230.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5411…72c0backed Yes72c230.63$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes77c228$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes29c223.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.532339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes28c219.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9914456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes36c208.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3315534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.95518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.99749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c205.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes75c205.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1643241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes23c199.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15425339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes78c191.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.156439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe2…e839backed Yes29c175.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No10c175.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0518139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.679736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No69c160.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.710330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes31c160.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.842254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes20c158.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.62536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed Yes71c140.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.862373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes23c137.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.238343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9316142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c01…428ebacked Yes76c137.76$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes75c133.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847c…9d31backed Yes77c125.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.594854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…9325backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254050%20 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes30c117.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.889335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes29c114.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6316346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes29c112.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7915025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8835…472cbacked Yes29c110.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.729735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.76845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3539…444fbacked Yes77c106.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x221e…7f0fbacked Yes30c103.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.