TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a9a…dcbe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT15025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.17
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$95
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+115.5%+$57.75
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$162.91
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+354.5%+$155.47
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.38
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.56
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.01
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.89
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$165.3
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.23
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.43
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$90.49
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$101.28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.08
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104.05
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.39
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.79
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.28
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+334.8%+$167.36
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+525%+$262.5
Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will the match between Atalanta and Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the match between Sporting CP and Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.99
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.86
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.75
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.09
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Johnson vs. Azaitarbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$90.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$152.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+59.7%+$59.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.