TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Djokovicof Alcaraz, Djokovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2863…0e3ebacked Alcaraz5c9,578$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked Djokovic61c9,367$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8933…1495backed Djokovic37c8,121$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Alcaraz30c7,490$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Alcaraz62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.991450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Djokovic35c3,626$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.9914345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb5…4f10backed Alcaraz14c3,230$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Alcaraz45c3,056$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.312846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6150…13f7backed Alcaraz67c2,687$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick64cpaid-80.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Alcaraz62c2,330$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.793933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Djokovic38c2,326$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Djokovic33c1,900$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2655253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf876…7640backed Alcaraz51c1,626$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Alcaraz63c1,541$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Alcaraz38c1,493$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5671323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Alcaraz25c1,440$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.13429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Djokovic37c1,204$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.0526039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Djokovic52c1,165$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Alcaraz50c1,100$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…2af6backed Alcaraz63c946.13$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…3ef8backed Djokovic50c856.88$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Alcaraz60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Djokovic19c755.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.4416242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Alcaraz65c598.55$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.0690%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c6c…bdd8backed Alcaraz55c546.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Djokovic38c531.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8138348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…6bedbacked Djokovic62c484.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Alcaraz59c450$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.232846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Alcaraz65c421.54$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8906…1585backed Alcaraz76c401.47$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d1…dee6backed Alcaraz31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3fb…8179backed Alcaraz19c392.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.653063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Alcaraz18c378.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Alcaraz23c370.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1860%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Alcaraz39c367.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x911e…8a3fbacked Alcaraz57c351.04$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e71…a236backed Alcaraz60c322.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…e42abacked Alcaraz63c319.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.59333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Alcaraz64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Alcaraz64c280$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Djokovic37c267.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5729661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe929…fd06backed Djokovic38c262.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Djokovic37c259.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8322021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Alcaraz65c249.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.094744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Djokovic37c246.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.191450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Alcaraz63c227.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec2…0cb3backed Djokovic31c220$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf00…6767backed Djokovic38c216.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…8949backed Alcaraz17c210$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4032…bd81backed Djokovic39c205.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Djokovic38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12463942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1315…ad47backed Alcaraz40c180.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…5209backed Alcaraz64c168.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Djokovic35c152.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.34425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Djokovic57c142.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…21a2backed Alcaraz12c138$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Alcaraz43c132.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.571010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Alcaraz61c130.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.724459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Djokovic37c118.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.928146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Djokovic38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.423447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb39…c696backed Djokovic16c115.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+317.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Djokovic44c112.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9617538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd6…e388backed Alcaraz79c101.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Djokovic14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Djokovic14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…ca3fbacked Alcaraz20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06af…3741backed Djokovic73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…d0b0backed Djokovic40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Alcaraz67c92.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.37966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501c…f2cabacked Alcaraz64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…efdfbacked Djokovic44c77.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5dd…a22ebacked Alcaraz65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Alcaraz33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4eb…20c4backed Djokovic42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Djokovic38c71.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ab…f39ebacked Alcaraz25c70.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Djokovic46c69.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4718740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa7…d285backed Djokovic38c67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ec…032fbacked Djokovic38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a5…3f3cbacked Djokovic75c52.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Alcaraz65c51.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6460342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4625…cf6dbacked Djokovic37c49.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3a…0de0backed Alcaraz76c48.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c1…8febbacked Djokovic39c46.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd527…4533backed Alcaraz32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alcaraz46c42.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.738147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Djokovic37c40.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Djokovic37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Djokovic37c36.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa06d…2c9fbacked Alcaraz71c34.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Djokovic47c33.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4845…6e62backed Alcaraz64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x269d…6eeebacked Alcaraz62c28.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Djokovic37c27.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0449632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb825…7aa8backed Alcaraz63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc89…b473backed Alcaraz69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…7289backed Djokovic76c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd828…bc02backed Alcaraz63c17.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.