TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b0c…935d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST3141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+33.1%+$189.49
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$370.58
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$209.45
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.88
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$901.51
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,991.1
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,520.75
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$489.65
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$112.73
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$102.92
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.48
Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,083.97
Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+85.3%+$737.88
Will Saquon Barkley rush for 2,000 yards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+35.5%+$1,170.66
Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$88.67
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,411.75
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$708.51
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+83.6%+$315.19
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC Westbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$3,084.45
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$84.76
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$198.37
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$1,225.2
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,010Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+56.3%+$2,255.83
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$425.23
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+34.7%+$116.91
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.74
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$171.44
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$526.42
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.61
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+32.4%+$104.46
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$426.35
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+341.1%+$103.39
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170%+$1,000.16
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$376.03
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35.96
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$62.41
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.03
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+241.7%+$239.5
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$54.68
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+269.1%+$80.19
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.8%+$147.86
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+83.5%+$313.92
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$112.06
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.7%+$96.37
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.55
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+63.8%+$1,328.25
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,792.07
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+84.5%+$939.12
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,542.26
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$267.83
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15,061.98
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34,229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.9%+$11,591.23
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32,707Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+108.8%+$35,577.85
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.5%+$1,677.44
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$669.97
Israel military action against Iraq before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$2,984.23
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+314.9%+$3,036
Australian Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+138.6%+$2,765.67
Australian Open (W): Sabalenka vs. Badosabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+29.6%+$192.75
Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,099.99
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+300%+$973.38
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritzbacked Frtiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+245.4%+$1,232.77
Will another player win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.86
Will Frances Tiafoe win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$244.45
Will Karolina Muchova win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$401.41
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$6.34
Will Alexander Zverev win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$94.09
Will Jasmine Paolini win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+86.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.24
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,534.48
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.01
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$850.19
Will Solana reach $200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$393.97
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.34
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+535.5%+$1,765.8
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,220.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$32.14
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$72.91
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.93
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$206.44
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+247.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,219.62
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$598.08
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$199.52
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$100.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$54.8
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+115%+$63.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+150%+$59.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$48.32
Will Lando Norris win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$115.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+28.6%+$393.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.