TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof White Sox, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals62c19,228$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,228.2136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked White Sox38c5,050$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.981850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Royals62c3,531$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.782347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox37c2,695$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.061,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals61c1,709$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.182,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Royals62c1,608$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3611051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c45…0b91backed Royals62c1,271$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox38c1,208$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.651,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x475e…f5fcbacked White Sox38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ab…e432backed White Sox38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e08…7193backed Royals62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked White Sox38c999.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals62c991.94$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox37c970$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed White Sox15c899.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.545732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Royals75c690$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked White Sox38c669.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.643654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox37c626$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Royals72c597.94$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox39c573.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.616552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Royals62c487.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6714453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed White Sox23c475.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox37c472.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked White Sox12c467.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.115955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals62c429.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.41,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals56c404.25$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8742452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Royals62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked White Sox27c395.51$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5210527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox39c373.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox38c284$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox37c281.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox22c271.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals63c257.14$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed White Sox39c256.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals57c165$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.756,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaade…71f1backed Royals61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Royals62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Royals62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Royals62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.812258.2%71 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Royals63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked White Sox22c146.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox36c145.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9931244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Royals72c138.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.776960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Royals62c137.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed White Sox39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.717850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed White Sox22c121.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.860052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox34c111.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Royals61c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2924351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed White Sox30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…3e71backed White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf040…a1a1backed Royals63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35dc…f5b0backed Royals63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb146…8769backed White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…2a7abacked White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe91…bbf2backed Royals63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a3…6ff6backed Royals63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc24…53cebacked White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e4…880cbacked Royals63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d57…4e2cbacked White Sox38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9026…6924backed White Sox38c99.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.993429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed White Sox40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Royals74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0828447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c67…bd51backed White Sox40c67.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74f…394fbacked White Sox40c65.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00c…abf8backed White Sox39c62.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2640%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49b8…55d1backed White Sox39c61.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ed…4133backed White Sox40c61.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals76c60.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.634,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Royals62c53.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.271,30256.7%738 W · 564 L-1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba4…7dedbacked Royals63c52.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked White Sox42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Royals61c49.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.518148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd6…4e24backed White Sox39c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f9…e9f4backed Royals62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked White Sox37c44.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6866250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7262…6c5cbacked Royals61c43.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…7eb3backed Royals61c43.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73dd…134bbacked Royals62c41.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ca…1e80backed White Sox39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc21…5020backed Royals62c41.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox39c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9925155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf08c…05f5backed Royals62c40.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4672…94c9backed Royals62c40.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048e…5ba7backed White Sox40c40.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Royals62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3225551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.