TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9587…cd8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
439
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT31244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 312 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.4
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.5
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.7
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.89
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.1
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.94
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+125%+$70.98
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.3
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+130%+$59.28
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$54.26
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+187.8%+$50.34
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$125.54
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.4
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Showing 25 of 312 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.06
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+84.6%+$234.46
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.78
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.99
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.8
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.64
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$52
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+77%+$69.6
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.28
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+155.5%+$425.97
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.99
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$327.98
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$166.54
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+279.6%+$814.97
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+109.7%+$144.36
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.28
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.87
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$183
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT4630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Acesbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.8
Dream vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.95
Mercury vs Stormbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$187.36
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+96.7%+$98.41
Dream vs Stormbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Liberty vs Acesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dream vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.01
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Sun vs Mercurybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mercury vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Mystics vs Dreambacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Liberty vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Sparks vs Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+218.9%+$212.37
Liberty vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$166
Fever vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Valkyries vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.08
Valkyries vs Mysticsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+169.2%+$205.98
Dream vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.07
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.57
Mercury vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$86.8
Valkyries vs Dreambacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$114
Sky vs Mysticsbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Storm vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
IEM Cologne: Aurora vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$105
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$325
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$39.54
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$25.91
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. JD Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. EDward Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Rams backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+258.4%+$253.83
Chiefs vs. Seahawks backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Titans vs. Falcons backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.31
Texans vs. Vikings backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.