NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ffcfde75b609b3a5418a06ec4b8dadbbdc285a23ccf1267cf55fade84d45a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bulls | 40c | 20,375$8,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,172.42 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Bucks | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bucks | 58c | 4,301$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.41 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bulls | 39c | 4,265$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.42 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 41c | 2,088$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.68 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Bucks | 58c | 1,730$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Bulls | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 1c | 1,395$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 59c | 1,346$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.94 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Bulls | 40c | 1,280$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Bucks | 60c | 1,280$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Bucks | 61c | 1,260$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…943abacked Bulls | 39c | 1,260$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bulls | 36c | 1,244$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.42 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Bulls | 49c | 1,092$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Bulls | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Bucks | 58c | 859.94$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bulls | 39c | 774.36$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.36 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Bulls | 73c | 701.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Bulls | 39c | 699.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Bulls | 43c | 604.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 50c | 496.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Bucks | 59c | 427.2$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bulls | 40c | 389.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Bucks | 53c | 340$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Bulls | 80c | 313.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Bulls | 40c | 279.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 61c | 275.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Bulls | 44c | 241.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 44c | 239$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 58c | 234.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 43c | 232.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Bulls | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Bucks | 57c | 229.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bucks | 56c | 208.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bulls | 38c | 204.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Bulls | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Bucks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bulls | 39c | 199.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Bucks | 60c | 183$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Bulls | 41c | 160$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Bulls | 14c | 160$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Bulls | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 39c | 142.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Bulls | 57c | 136.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 59c | 129.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Bulls | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Bucks | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Bucks | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Bulls | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…bf0bbacked Bucks | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Bulls | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Bulls | 42c | 113.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Bucks | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Bucks | 13c | 112.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Bucks | 57c | 112.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Bulls | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…3e93backed Bulls | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…81efbacked Bulls | 38c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Bulls | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…500bbacked Bulls | 38c | 92.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bucks | 15c | 92.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bucks | 18c | 92.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Bucks | 62c | 80.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bulls | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…bbb9backed Bulls | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Bulls | 23c | 71.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Bucks | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bulls | 28c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Bucks | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…81a7backed Bucks | 63c | 67.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Bucks | 61c | 66.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Bucks | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…2078backed Bulls | 38c | 62.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Bulls | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Bulls | 43c | 62.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed Bucks | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Bucks | 61c | 59.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks | 59c | 58.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bucks | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Bulls | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bucks | 35c | 55.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…fa36backed Bulls | 38c | 54.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…423abacked Bucks | 63c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Bulls | 36c | 53.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bulls | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Bulls | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Bulls | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Bulls | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Bulls | 39c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Bucks | 63c | 48.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Bucks | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Bulls | 41c | 46.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c7…6332backed Bulls | 38c | 45.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Bulls | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.