TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe913…1a90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$6.54
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Twins vs. Rockiesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Reds vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.81
Reds vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.31
Padres vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.77
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
White Sox vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+99.7%+$11.22
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$3.06
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$8.58
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+125%+$15.22
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.06
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$6.39
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will LAFC beat LA Galaxy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Portland beat Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
MLS: Will Real Salt Lake beat FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.55
MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Toronto FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Philadelphia beat Houston?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
MLS: Will Houston beat Philadelphia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.74
MLS: Will Sporting Kansas City beat New York City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.78
MLS: Will New York City FC beat Sporting Kansas City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will FC Dallas beat St. Louis City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Columbus Crew beat D.C. United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will CF Montréal beat Chicago Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Orlando City beat New England Revolution?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
MLS: Will Chicago Fire beat CF Montréal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will New England Revolution beat Orlando City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.76
MLS: Will LA Galaxy beat Austin FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
MLS: Will San Jose beat FC Dallas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
MLS: Will Real Salt Lake beat Portland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
MLS: Will Seattle beat Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
MLS: Will Houston beat Vancouver?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.03
MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
MLS: Will Orlando City beat New York City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
MLS: Will Philadelphia beat CF Montreal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
MLS: Will Charlotte FC beat D.C. United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.89
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.84
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.13
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.03
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.03
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.66
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$16.52
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$8.33
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.82
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.03
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.08
Nordea Open: De Jong vs. Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
ATP Los Cabos: Ficovich vs. Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Swiss Open: Passaro vs. Kym backed Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$45
Swiss Open: Shevchenko vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.77
Swiss Open: Cazaux vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Carballes Baenabacked Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
ATP Los Cabos: Altmaier vs. Schoolkatebacked Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$41.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.41
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$26.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. Cloud9backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISSURE Playground 1: GamerLegion vs. SAWbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.