MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84fbb694b83f8504e2697c6d8a16163ffacc19f058e9717cf0b0533aa45039e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 71c | 9,860$6,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.43 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 46c | 7,488$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Reds | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 30c | 6,993$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 45c | 4,772$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 46c | 4,613$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 59c | 3,906$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.15 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Reds | 54c | 3,537$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.43 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 46c | 3,455$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 46c | 3,302$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.28 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 42c | 2,350$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9347…7048backed Pirates | 46c | 2,261$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…5ec6backed Pirates | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6b29backed Pirates | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Reds | 55c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Reds | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pirates | 46c | 1,743$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.31 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Pirates | 62c | 1,667$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 10c | 1,470$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Reds | 55c | 1,325$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Reds | 54c | 1,313$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.46 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…f9e2backed Pirates | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…2b66backed Reds | 54c | 1,133$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Reds | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Reds | 54c | 1,067$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Reds | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…05b0backed Reds | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…900ebacked Pirates | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Reds | 54c | 938$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…a071backed Reds | 54c | 926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…dad7backed Reds | 54c | 866$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…f662backed Reds | 54c | 778$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 55c | 723.95$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.17 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Pirates | 71c | 700.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…7f04backed Reds | 54c | 617$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 28c | 565$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Reds | 55c | 556.25$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 55c | 500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 42c | 477.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Reds | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 53c | 445.39$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Pirates | 46c | 438.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Pirates | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Reds | 34c | 425.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221e…1604backed Reds | 47c | 421.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 57c | 374.12$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…5178backed Reds | 55c | 354.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Reds | 7c | 327$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 55c | 311.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Reds | 54c | 292.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 41c | 289.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…2224backed Reds | 51c | 289.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Reds | 21c | 286$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 45c | 280.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Reds | 55c | 272.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Reds | 40c | 260.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Reds | 55c | 247.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Reds | 55c | 245.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Reds | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Reds | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Pirates | 46c | 204.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Reds | 55c | 175.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 55c | 151.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 45c | 143.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Reds | 55c | 109.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Reds | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…d3d0backed Reds | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…6e5fbacked Reds | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…ea30backed Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Pirates | 71c | 90.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Reds | 55c | 89.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d692backed Reds | 55c | 88.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Reds | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 73c | 84.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…ce55backed Pirates | 78c | 80.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Reds | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Pirates | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Reds | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…e065backed Pirates | 47c | 52.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954a…972cbacked Reds | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…2f08backed Reds | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 46c | 48.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Reds | 54c | 48.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Reds | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.