TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f19…72d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
492
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT41649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 416 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Twins vs. Redsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.25
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.19
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.9
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$33.59
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$40.49
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.65
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.59
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.6
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.19
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Rays vs. Metsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+158.3%+$42.9
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$61.6
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Showing 25 of 416 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.68
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.59
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$18.81
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.12
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.82
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.22
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.81
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$17.08
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$20.9
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.28
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$12.96
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$12.65
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.68
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.99
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.56
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$23.79
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$23.4
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+123.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.