TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89da…dfcabacked Wild42c32,730$13,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,746.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4957…4cbcbacked Golden Knights58c30,730$17,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,906.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Golden Knights57c12,067$6,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.9936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild42c12,015$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights61c10,871$6,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,244.6811441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.9416645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild27c6,582$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.0992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5be…7c6ebacked Golden Knights59c5,566$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Wild69c5,362$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild49c4,724$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.241,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild43c4,678$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild38c4,676$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights35c4,201$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.450857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights60c3,851$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.0813845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Wild53c3,784$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.2717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Wild41c3,509$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.867352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild41c3,238$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.2220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Wild42c3,190$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Golden Knights58c3,190$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Golden Knights58c3,190$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Wild42c3,190$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild42c3,001$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.951,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Golden Knights54c3,000$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.364856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Wild42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2609942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Wild40c2,825$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1304955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Golden Knights58c2,580$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Wild42c2,580$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild37c2,554$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.93,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Golden Knights59c2,440$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.393271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Wild41c2,180$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Golden Knights58c2,015$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.31782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Wild42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild39c2,000$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.3685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc41…3873backed Golden Knights58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da7…a3f8backed Golden Knights60c1,989$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild41c1,933$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.711,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Wild45c1,734$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.265470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights62c1,613$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.7958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights59c1,554$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.851,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild44c1,405$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…cee3backed Golden Knights39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wild42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Golden Knights58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47b…bae9backed Wild41c977.56$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Wild40c940.65$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9329748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights57c882.69$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Wild42c857.14$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild40c800.35$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights35c671.22$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.294143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Golden Knights53c622.72$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6120751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild41c567.82$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights52c555$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Golden Knights56c546.97$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.979750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Golden Knights59c510.85$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.415754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Wild41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights58c492.46$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild39c476.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.071,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights48c461.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Wild37c423.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.146764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Wild34c419.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.679747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Wild39c382$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9810627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights59c340.17$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.068959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wild58c338.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1813348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Golden Knights60c333.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights64c331$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.252,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Golden Knights58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Golden Knights61c254.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Golden Knights41c240$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Wild42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f26…d213backed Wild42c231.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf8…93c3backed Wild39c231.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb2…a747backed Wild38c223.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild40c222.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Wild40c212.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8613043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f0…b853backed Wild38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Wild39c204.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Golden Knights60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Wild62c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.511248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8438046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild48c199.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Golden Knights58c199.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights59c197.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wild39c194.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8512941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Wild42c192.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.714729.8%14 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Wild43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691e…9b99backed Golden Knights59c172.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Golden Knights62c171.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1812462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…1958backed Wild38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wild49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.872725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96d…7d43backed Golden Knights59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Golden Knights61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25b8…dc36backed Wild40c156.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.521866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f87…5c55backed Wild42c151.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.652050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa514…6ac4backed Wild38c149.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e3…d432backed Wild68c149.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Wild40c148.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.