TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2373…ddfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
600
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT37446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 374 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$64.58
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$136.5
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$295
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$295
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.45
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,260
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$103.87
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$900
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$495
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$795
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$615
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.96
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$765
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$705
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
Showing 25 of 374 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT9942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$755.58
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.07
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,120
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,290
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,095
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,172.22
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$960
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$1,090
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$959.91
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$357.76
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,886.97
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$790
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$6,671.97
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$82.12
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$748.76
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.7
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.1
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$980
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.25
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$584.99
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$260
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$830.04
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,072.96
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$660
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$81
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.45
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$941.4
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,035
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$330
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$669.7
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$255
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Will Trump say "Governor" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$484.25
Trump meets with Carney before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$232
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$216
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$202.06
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,634
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$680
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$229.7
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+83%+$743.76
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$371.39
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$338.16
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$395.97
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$198
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. Gradbacked Naimov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$67.5
UFC Fight Night: Rowe vs. Loosabacked Loosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$609.99
Gamrot vs. Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+181.6%+$1,289.67
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.01
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,549.29
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Katona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$969.23
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$1,016.16
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$580
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$366.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,060
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$660
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.99
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Feverbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$484
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.