UFC · resolved market
Machado Garry vs. Prates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbf48f5009aba7feb09bae5d46f83610e1dd16285781caab2c8a362d380088d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Machado Garryof Machado Garry, Prates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Prates | 39c | 67,620$26,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,612.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…0e7abacked Prates | 45c | 34,523$15,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,535.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…e989backed Machado Garry | 55c | 34,523$18,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,535.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Machado Garry | 60c | 33,406$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,326.12 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…9d99backed Prates | 24c | 27,784$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…4d79backed Prates | 46c | 24,715$11,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,368.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…c416backed Machado Garry | 54c | 24,715$13,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,368.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Machado Garry | 60c | 20,907$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.84 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Machado Garry | 61c | 19,176$11,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…b1e6backed Prates | 44c | 18,320$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Machado Garry | 56c | 13,830$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.17 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Machado Garry | 60c | 13,354$8,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.16 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Prates | 44c | 11,400$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Machado Garry | 54c | 10,309$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Prates | 40c | 10,245$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Machado Garry | 58c | 8,150$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Prates | 42c | 5,950$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Prates | 39c | 5,517$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.64 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Prates | 40c | 4,660$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.13 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Prates | 42c | 4,621$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Prates | 40c | 4,500$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.48 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Prates | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Prates | 7c | 3,713$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Prates | 30c | 3,663$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.16 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Machado Garry | 61c | 3,440$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Prates | 6c | 3,230$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Prates | 8c | 3,204$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Machado Garry | 62c | 3,059$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Machado Garry | 61c | 2,590$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Prates | 7c | 2,557$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Prates | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…c4aebacked Machado Garry | 61c | 2,331$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Machado Garry | 61c | 2,247$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.46 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Machado Garry | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Machado Garry | 62c | 1,986$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.51 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…c7fabacked Prates | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Machado Garry | 62c | 1,850$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…a036backed Prates | 40c | 1,848$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Prates | 15c | 1,832$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Prates | 41c | 1,812$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Machado Garry | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Prates | 42c | 1,784$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.83 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Machado Garry | 61c | 1,732$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.53 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Machado Garry | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Prates | 40c | 1,653$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6485backed Machado Garry | 55c | 1,552$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Prates | 45c | 1,501$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.44 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Machado Garry | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Machado Garry | 61c | 1,304$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Prates | 40c | 1,299$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Prates | 22c | 1,294$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…bf90backed Machado Garry | 62c | 1,258$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…c40dbacked Prates | 8c | 1,238$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…eadbbacked Machado Garry | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Machado Garry | 60c | 1,175$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Prates | 40c | 1,170$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…c74bbacked Prates | 39c | 1,072$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Machado Garry | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Prates | 21c | 948.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Machado Garry | 46c | 924.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.29 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Machado Garry | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Machado Garry | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Prates | 40c | 803.82$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Machado Garry | 60c | 771.79$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Prates | 39c | 661.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Machado Garry | 58c | 657.74$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Prates | 42c | 599.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Machado Garry | 62c | 576$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Machado Garry | 62c | 571.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Machado Garry | 55c | 558.91$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Machado Garry | 54c | 538.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.32 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Prates | 40c | 531.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…cbf0backed Machado Garry | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Machado Garry | 60c | 450$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Machado Garry | 68c | 408.52$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Machado Garry | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Prates | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Prates | 4c | 372.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Machado Garry | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Machado Garry | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Machado Garry | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Machado Garry | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…b318backed Prates | 48c | 312$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Machado Garry | 61c | 303$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Machado Garry | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Prates | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Machado Garry | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Machado Garry | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Prates | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Prates | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…f3ccbacked Machado Garry | 55c | 287$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Prates | 41c | 268.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Prates | 6c | 251.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Machado Garry | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Machado Garry | 74c | 247.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Machado Garry | 55c | 246.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…e8f8backed Prates | 45c | 224.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Machado Garry | 56c | 220.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Prates | 39c | 214$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Prates | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Machado Garry vs. Pratesthis page
- Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
- Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
- Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
- Brown vs. DalbyBrown won
- Chandler vs. EdwardsEdwards won
- Chikadze vs. Onama Onama won
- Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov won
- Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
- Smith vs. Mingyang Mingyang won
- Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.