UFC · resolved market
Brown vs. Dalby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f68d6b4958109f1b7f540458b7bdcc32425eb121a98b6b75894dfb585492b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownof Brown, Dalby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8c…6ac2backed Dalby | 33c | 54,628$18,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,027.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…72d1backed Brown | 67c | 54,628$36,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,027.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brown | 74c | 6,298$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.72 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dalby | 25c | 6,149$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.65 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Dalby | 1c | 5,118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Brown | 72c | 4,528$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.9 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dalby | 27c | 4,001$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.39 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Brown | 74c | 3,415$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.77 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Brown | 75c | 2,417$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dalby | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brown | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…9d99backed Dalby | 18c | 1,584$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Dalby | 28c | 1,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…4427backed Dalby | 28c | 1,235$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brown | 75c | 1,071$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.97 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Dalby | 31c | 956.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Brown | 75c | 867.18$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dalby | 2c | 831.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dalby | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…8b14backed Brown | 72c | 670$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Dalby | 26c | 631.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brown | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Dalby | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Dalby | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…bc95backed Brown | 72c | 390$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…cdd9backed Dalby | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…d44fbacked Dalby | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked Brown | 72c | 370$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…f20ebacked Dalby | 28c | 370$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…3c96backed Dalby | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Dalby | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…9130backed Dalby | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…0ed3backed Dalby | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…0009backed Brown | 72c | 325$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed Brown | 74c | 325$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Dalby | 31c | 320.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…5bbdbacked Dalby | 26c | 290$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…e58abacked Dalby | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Brown | 65c | 288.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Dalby | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dalby | 25c | 267.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked Brown | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked Dalby | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed Dalby | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Dalby | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dalby | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dalby | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…b318backed Dalby | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…2cbebacked Brown | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…896bbacked Brown | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Dalby | 24c | 186.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Dalby | 29c | 174.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…28dbbacked Brown | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Brown | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f6…317cbacked Brown | 72c | 145$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…bba0backed Brown | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…6041backed Brown | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…71bbbacked Brown | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Brown | 69c | 139.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Brown | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Brown | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Brown | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Brown | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…471cbacked Brown | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…e47cbacked Brown | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed Brown | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…601fbacked Brown | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked Brown | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Brown | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…5cc9backed Brown | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…484bbacked Brown | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…bacebacked Brown | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…b50fbacked Dalby | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…820bbacked Brown | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dalby | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Dalby | 28c | 107.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Brown | 69c | 104.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Dalby | 29c | 102.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Dalby | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Dalby | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Dalby | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Brown | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brown | 73c | 96.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dalby | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Dalby | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Brown | 73c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Dalby | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Brown | 71c | 59.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Brown | 71c | 56.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Brown | 68c | 56.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…7064backed Dalby | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…ce04backed Dalby | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Brown | 76c | 53.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Brown | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…d5e8backed Brown | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…5cc4backed Brown | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Brown | 76c | 44.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed Brown | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…4b7abacked Brown | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Brown | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brown vs. Dalbythis page
- Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
- Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
- Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
- Chandler vs. EdwardsEdwards won
- Chikadze vs. Onama Onama won
- Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry won
- Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov won
- Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
- Smith vs. Mingyang Mingyang won
- Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.