UFC · resolved market
Pereira vs. Magomedov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a9f5cf5759a3b21c798a4381d1921af3d54f7624a43c423e604ed9bc1325fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magomedovof Pereira , Magomedov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2543…71b2backed Pereira | 58c | 28,109$16,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,303.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…c20fbacked Magomedov | 42c | 28,109$11,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,303.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pereira | 54c | 16,432$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.46 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Magomedov | 46c | 11,288$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.36 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Magomedov | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magomedov | 45c | 3,710$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…9d99backed Magomedov | 66c | 2,518$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Magomedov | 44c | 2,515$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.32 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Pereira | 56c | 2,450$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.94 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pereira | 19c | 2,374$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.75 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Magomedov | 43c | 2,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.54 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pereira | 56c | 2,296$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pereira | 54c | 2,233$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magomedov | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pereira | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pereira | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Magomedov | 50c | 1,992$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Magomedov | 46c | 1,961$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.65 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Magomedov | 45c | 1,883$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.89 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Magomedov | 47c | 1,612$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pereira | 55c | 1,571$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Pereira | 48c | 1,300$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pereira | 55c | 1,177$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.35 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Pereira | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Pereira | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Magomedov | 45c | 1,086$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Magomedov | 46c | 1,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.67 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Pereira | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Pereira | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pereira | 54c | 908$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.32 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Pereira | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Pereira | 49c | 860$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pereira | 55c | 802.53$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Pereira | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Magomedov | 46c | 728.57$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Magomedov | 47c | 666$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magomedov | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pereira | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pereira | 7c | 481.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Magomedov | 43c | 479.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.38 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Magomedov | 46c | 466.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Magomedov | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Magomedov | 45c | 445.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Pereira | 52c | 394.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Magomedov | 49c | 368.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magomedov | 44c | 348.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pereira | 54c | 317.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Pereira | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Pereira | 55c | 284.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Magomedov | 46c | 261.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pereira | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pereira | 57c | 222.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Magomedov | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Magomedov | 45c | 221$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Magomedov | 46c | 216.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magomedov | 66c | 201.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Pereira | 56c | 199.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pereira | 54c | 193.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Magomedov | 42c | 192.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Magomedov | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Pereira | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Pereira | 54c | 170.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Magomedov | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Magomedov | 48c | 146.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Magomedov | 54c | 141.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…083dbacked Magomedov | 47c | 137.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed Pereira | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Magomedov | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Pereira | 57c | 112.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Magomedov | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magomedov | 44c | 109.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Magomedov | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Pereira | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Magomedov | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Pereira | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…04fbbacked Magomedov | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Magomedov | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Magomedov | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…05debacked Pereira | 60c | 83.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Pereira | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Pereira | 53c | 74.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…49e0backed Pereira | 56c | 71.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Pereira | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…3e5bbacked Magomedov | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Magomedov | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Pereira | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Pereira | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Pereira | 58c | 60.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Pereira | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…7472backed Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…ddfdbacked Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…6515backed Pereira | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…8621backed Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…7653backed Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5402…26eebacked Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…11d9backed Pereira | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…977dbacked Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…2629backed Magomedov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…5fe6backed Pereira | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b0…63f7backed Pereira | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pereira vs. Magomedovthis page
- Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
- Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
- Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
- Brown vs. DalbyBrown won
- Chandler vs. EdwardsEdwards won
- Chikadze vs. Onama Onama won
- Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry won
- Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
- Smith vs. Mingyang Mingyang won
- Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.