TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Pereira vs. Magomedov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magomedovof Pereira , Magomedov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2543…71b2backed Pereira 58c28,109$16,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,303.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa745…c20fbacked Magomedov42c28,109$11,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,303.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pereira 54c16,432$8,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,954.4635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Magomedov46c11,288$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,136.3610542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Magomedov45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20014857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Magomedov45c3,710$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5e…9d99backed Magomedov66c2,518$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.07825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Magomedov44c2,515$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.3222259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Pereira 56c2,450$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.9411844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pereira 19c2,374$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7511540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Magomedov43c2,322$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.5416951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pereira 56c2,296$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.3314751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pereira 54c2,233$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.643161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magomedov45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.133253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pereira 55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10035826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pereira 57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9916247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Magomedov50c1,992$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.473748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Magomedov46c1,961$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.655870.7%41 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Magomedov45c1,883$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.8910447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Magomedov47c1,612$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85925251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Pereira 55c1,571$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.073250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Pereira 48c1,300$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62519531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pereira 55c1,177$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3518560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Pereira 56c1,161$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035764.7%231 W · 126 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…2246backed Pereira 55c1,144$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Magomedov45c1,086$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Magomedov46c1,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.679241.3%38 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Pereira 56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Pereira 54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pereira 54c908$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.327343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Pereira 56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029948.8%146 W · 153 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Pereira 49c860$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.421554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pereira 55c802.53$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.574833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Pereira 54c799.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a7…530ebacked Magomedov46c728.57$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Magomedov47c666$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.986943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Magomedov46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3247451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pereira 54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pereira 7c481.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1618145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Magomedov43c479.61$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.385858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Magomedov46c466.69$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.863938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Magomedov44c455$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.83455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Magomedov45c445.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0724356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Pereira 52c394.13$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.336245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Magomedov49c368.93$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Magomedov44c348.03$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.942042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pereira 54c317.51$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4314355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7384…1ebdbacked Pereira 9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Pereira 55c284.44$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.444151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca86…4002backed Magomedov46c261.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pereira 56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pereira 57c222.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8756450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Magomedov45c221.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0910452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Magomedov45c221$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.551560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Magomedov46c216.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9414130.5%43 W · 98 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magomedov66c201.34$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7421031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Pereira 56c199.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.989352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Pereira 54c193.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1610439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Magomedov42c192.34$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4148749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Magomedov43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.054341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Pereira 56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Pereira 54c170.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.914040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Magomedov45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8832545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Magomedov48c146.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.293754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Magomedov54c141.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7337854.8%207 W · 171 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ec…083dbacked Magomedov47c137.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ec…01b6backed Pereira 56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Magomedov43c118.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.612245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Pereira 57c112.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b34…b5b5backed Magomedov45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114560%27 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Magomedov44c109.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0516049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Magomedov45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Pereira 56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Magomedov46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Pereira 54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5428743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…04fbbacked Magomedov45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128d…e2e7backed Magomedov46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Magomedov47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2771…05debacked Pereira 60c83.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Pereira 55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8233948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Pereira 53c74.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7411152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf8…49e0backed Pereira 56c71.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112a…c789backed Pereira 56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e75…3e5bbacked Magomedov43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Magomedov45c64.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4428333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ee…caa4backed Pereira 56c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.283231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9789…21d1backed Pereira 55c61.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed Pereira 58c60.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Pereira 56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d26…7472backed Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1f…ddfdbacked Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x570b…6515backed Pereira 55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…8621backed Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…7653backed Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5402…26eebacked Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…11d9backed Pereira 55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…977dbacked Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d0…2629backed Magomedov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4626…5fe6backed Pereira 55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b0…63f7backed Pereira 55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.