TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7384…1ebd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 77 out of 100 (+0.24 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 77 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT14022.1%31 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.19
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+342.5%+$77.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+593.7%+$514.03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.03
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Prates​ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
Smith vs. Mingyangbacked Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Pereira vs. Magomedovbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Brown vs. Dalbybacked Dalby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blackshear vs. Alatengheilibacked Alatengheili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.9
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Jim Miller vs. Chase Hooperbacked Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposobacked Mudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$206.92
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Emmett vs. Murphybacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Romious vs. Leebacked Romious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Tavares vs. Meerschaertbacked Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.98
Finney vs. Valentinbacked Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Belbita vs. Barbosabacked Belbita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Henry vs. Falcaobacked Falcao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick25cpaid+483.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.6
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.17
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: USA vs Nepal - Toss Match Double Nepal Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+900%+$451.35
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Toss Match Double Karachi Kings Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.48
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Team Top Batter Italy Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.23
T20 Series Cyprus vs Croatia, Women: Cyprus vs Croatia - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+900%+$90.27
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Toss Match Double Vanuatu Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.12
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Who wins the toss?backed Vanuatu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+900%+$90.27
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans - Toss Match Double Multan Sultans Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$109.15
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Islamabad United - Who wins the toss?backed Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$189.57
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Who wins the toss?backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+900%+$95.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+8.3wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,308.3%equal weight77+0.24 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will C.J. Allen be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,631.8%+$1,148.15
Will Cincinnati Bengals draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$2,990.41
Will Carolina Panthers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,290%+$3,929.87
Will Houston Texans draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+963%+$939.71
Will Buffalo Bills draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,870.5%+$488.85
Will San Francisco 49ers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$477.08
Will Miami Dolphins draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$441.05
Will New York Giants draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$380.57
Will Kansas City Chiefs draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$421.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.65per pick10cpaid+650%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unicaja Málaga win Liga Endesa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$276
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+893.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+893.7%+$104.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.