UFC · resolved market
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5725ce894d5278aede65bac20c1340e952d9b927f57617586aaf42ffc2c245f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Igeof Ige, Woodson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6d7…f2bbbacked Ige | 37c | 13,382$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,416.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Woodson | 63c | 12,124$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ige | 36c | 4,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ige | 39c | 3,135$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.07 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Woodson | 63c | 3,003$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Woodson | 64c | 2,920$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.44 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Ige | 35c | 2,772$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…f574backed Woodson | 65c | 2,560$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Woodson | 61c | 2,470$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.52 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Ige | 40c | 2,331$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.03 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Woodson | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Woodson | 62c | 1,611$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ige | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Woodson | 40c | 1,444$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.45 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ige | 34c | 1,399$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.3 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Ige | 37c | 1,256$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.97 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ige | 37c | 1,126$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Woodson | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Woodson | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9c14backed Woodson | 25c | 937.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Woodson | 65c | 916.2$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.21 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Ige | 38c | 907.26$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.48 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ige | 35c | 857$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Woodson | 65c | 849.76$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Ige | 37c | 822.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ige | 37c | 809.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.26 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ige | 36c | 624$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.26 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed Woodson | 60c | 615$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Woodson | 62c | 611.41$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.07 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Woodson | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Ige | 38c | 531.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Ige | 35c | 527.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Woodson | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Woodson | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Ige | 36c | 478.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Ige | 42c | 475.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed Ige | 40c | 440$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Ige | 36c | 414.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Woodson | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Woodson | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Woodson | 62c | 310.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Woodson | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Woodson | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Ige | 37c | 297$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Woodson | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Ige | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Woodson | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Ige | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Ige | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Ige | 59c | 236.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…aa59backed Woodson | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Woodson | 57c | 221.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…a275backed Ige | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Woodson | 64c | 212.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ige | 36c | 212$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Woodson | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Ige | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ige | 34c | 184.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Woodson | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Ige | 38c | 154.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Ige | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Woodson | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ige | 34c | 147.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…396dbacked Ige | 40c | 145$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed Ige | 41c | 145$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Woodson | 56c | 127.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Woodson | 69c | 122.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Woodson | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Ige | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Ige | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Ige | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Ige | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Woodson | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Ige | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Woodson | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…1d64backed Ige | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Ige | 37c | 95.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…8dbcbacked Ige | 37c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Woodson | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Ige | 48c | 84.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9500…ebbcbacked Woodson | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Woodson | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Ige | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ige | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…b38dbacked Woodson | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed Ige | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…d7d9backed Ige | 37c | 62.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Ige | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…02f9backed Ige | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Ige | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…f8b9backed Ige | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…34e4backed Ige | 37c | 50.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Ige | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked Woodson | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…5ff9backed Woodson | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…0338backed Woodson | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Woodson | 54c | 49.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…8cffbacked Ige | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…0f4ebacked Woodson | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Woodson | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonthis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.