UFC · resolved market
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeda27bf3a650d74ff5ab59a7fe4b121af9ea71cd01a6fa6b35818810fee9606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornolleof Cornolle, Cowan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Cowan | 38c | 2,784$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.52 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Cowan | 35c | 2,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cowan | 31c | 2,390$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.29 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Cornolle | 69c | 2,082$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cowan | 33c | 1,846$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.61 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cornolle | 64c | 1,738$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.53 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Cornolle | 66c | 1,543$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…5267backed Cornolle | 66c | 1,519$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowan | 36c | 1,406$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Cornolle | 62c | 1,109$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cornolle | 62c | 1,101$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.43 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Cornolle | 63c | 1,064$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cornolle | 69c | 1,007$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cornolle | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Cornolle | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Cowan | 38c | 990$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cowan | 34c | 926.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…7709backed Cornolle | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Cowan | 38c | 660$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Cowan | 37c | 660$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…38b6backed Cornolle | 62c | 650$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cornolle | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cowan | 31c | 556$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Cornolle | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cornolle | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Cowan | 35c | 368$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…0210backed Cornolle | 62c | 335$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cowan | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Cowan | 38c | 295$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Cowan | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Cornolle | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Cornolle | 62c | 245.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Cornolle | 64c | 233.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Cornolle | 63c | 220$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Cornolle | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cornolle | 61c | 211$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Cornolle | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Cornolle | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Cornolle | 61c | 152.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cowan | 36c | 138.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…18a6backed Cornolle | 64c | 135.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Cowan | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cowan | 35c | 120.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…41ebbacked Cowan | 36c | 106.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Cowan | 36c | 105.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Cowan | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Cornolle | 65c | 102.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Cowan | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Cornolle | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Cowan | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cowan | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Cornolle | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Cornolle | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…0d41backed Cornolle | 65c | 92.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…5dd1backed Cowan | 36c | 89.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…6151backed Cornolle | 65c | 86.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cornolle | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…8481backed Cornolle | 65c | 83.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Cornolle | 62c | 80.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…481ebacked Cornolle | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cowan | 31c | 74.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…6f1bbacked Cowan | 36c | 69.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Cornolle | 68c | 68.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Cornolle | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4783…8c2dbacked Cowan | 36c | 55.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Cornolle | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cornolle | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Cornolle | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Cornolle | 72c | 49.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cowan | 33c | 46.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cowan | 39c | 45.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…03dcbacked Cornolle | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…dae6backed Cowan | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Cornolle | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cornolle | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…b0febacked Cowan | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…8c7abacked Cornolle | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…357abacked Cowan | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…b941backed Cornolle | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…de46backed Cowan | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…7af9backed Cornolle | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…5eaabacked Cowan | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Cowan | 39c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cowan | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Cornolle | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cornolle | 69c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Cornolle | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Cornolle | 70c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…e0f8backed Cornolle | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…ec4cbacked Cornolle | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…e650backed Cornolle | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…b493backed Cornolle | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…e3ffbacked Cornolle | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…b23dbacked Cornolle | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…4d73backed Cornolle | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowanthis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.