UFC · resolved market
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x918570bdad8d510d5a362469c4847cba2f98e8365e3c4c6cfe7b7b4c73f977b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pimblettof Chandler, Pimblett
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Chandler | 42c | 35,230$14,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,759.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Pimblett | 59c | 34,181$20,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,106.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pimblett | 58c | 27,859$16,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pimblett | 60c | 27,563$16,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,025.33 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Chandler | 40c | 22,558$9,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,023.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Chandler | 41c | 19,289$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Pimblett | 60c | 17,643$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.14 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chandler | 40c | 13,975$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.29 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pimblett | 59c | 13,480$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Chandler | 40c | 10,002$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Chandler | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Pimblett | 57c | 6,633$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Chandler | 31c | 6,503$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…97d0backed Chandler | 43c | 6,046$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Chandler | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Chandler | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chandler | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Chandler | 41c | 4,743$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.31 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…f2bbbacked Chandler | 41c | 3,576$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pimblett | 58c | 3,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…553abacked Chandler | 47c | 2,926$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Chandler | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Pimblett | 52c | 2,330$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.22 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Chandler | 41c | 2,053$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.26 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chandler | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chandler | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Pimblett | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pimblett | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.92 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Chandler | 41c | 1,980$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.94 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Pimblett | 60c | 1,825$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…e8f8backed Pimblett | 62c | 1,783$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Chandler | 9c | 1,779$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pimblett | 56c | 1,757$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.51 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Chandler | 42c | 1,741$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.18 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Chandler | 42c | 1,733$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked Pimblett | 58c | 1,717$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Pimblett | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pimblett | 58c | 1,683$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.09 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Pimblett | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chandler | 24c | 1,569$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.63 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Pimblett | 57c | 1,547$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pimblett | 58c | 1,488$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.16 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Chandler | 42c | 1,448$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pimblett | 56c | 1,437$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pimblett | 60c | 1,405$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed Pimblett | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Chandler | 41c | 1,291$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Chandler | 42c | 1,250$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pimblett | 59c | 1,248$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.67 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Chandler | 42c | 1,156$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Chandler | 35c | 1,148$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…2ad7backed Chandler | 42c | 1,078$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pimblett | 57c | 1,068$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Pimblett | 58c | 1,029$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.26 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Chandler | 38c | 1,029$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…5340backed Pimblett | 61c | 1,013$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pimblett | 60c | 1,000$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Chandler | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Chandler | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Pimblett | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Chandler | 41c | 985.37$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…0614backed Pimblett | 60c | 980.94$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Chandler | 42c | 934.87$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Pimblett | 60c | 922.65$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pimblett | 57c | 880.97$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.46 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Pimblett | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pimblett | 60c | 740$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Chandler | 42c | 682$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Pimblett | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Chandler | 41c | 663.81$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Pimblett | 61c | 656.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Chandler | 42c | 630$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pimblett | 60c | 600.65$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Chandler | 42c | 590.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…754abacked Chandler | 42c | 586.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Pimblett | 58c | 547.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Chandler | 42c | 539.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.79 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Chandler | 40c | 511.54$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Pimblett | 60c | 511.08$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Pimblett | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pimblett | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Chandler | 41c | 498.14$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pimblett | 59c | 484$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pimblett | 59c | 483.05$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Chandler | 42c | 466.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Chandler | 41c | 450$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Chandler | 41c | 444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…7254backed Chandler | 42c | 442.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Chandler | 42c | 440$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…0082backed Pimblett | 60c | 437.51$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Chandler | 46c | 435.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Chandler | 24c | 434.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…3456backed Chandler | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Chandler | 42c | 392.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Chandler | 42c | 356.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Pimblett | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Chandler | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…5183backed Pimblett | 58c | 342$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Pimblett | 59c | 339.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed Pimblett | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettthis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.