UFC · resolved market
Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna Jandiroba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897d8c2bf90ac013d31e795cb76be5c468d5c87e008fd7dd58786941680f1786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jandirobaof Xiaonan, Jandiroba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9137…5ebfbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 14,018$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Jandiroba | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Xiaonan | 43c | 3,363$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.33 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Jandiroba | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 1,714$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.67 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Xiaonan | 22c | 1,700$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Xiaonan | 45c | 1,619$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 1,481$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.14 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Jandiroba | 57c | 1,439$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.77 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 1,257$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Xiaonan | 1c | 1,177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Jandiroba | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Xiaonan | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Jandiroba | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jandiroba | 55c | 990$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 903.09$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jandiroba | 57c | 850$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Xiaonan | 55c | 821.2$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Xiaonan | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jandiroba | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Xiaonan | 11c | 726$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jandiroba | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Xiaonan | 45c | 667.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 625.44$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Xiaonan | 5c | 621.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Jandiroba | 66c | 567.54$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jandiroba | 58c | 501.36$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Jandiroba | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Jandiroba | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 406.34$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Jandiroba | 56c | 360.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Jandiroba | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Jandiroba | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Jandiroba | 55c | 353.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Xiaonan | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Xiaonan | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Jandiroba | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Xiaonan | 48c | 291.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jandiroba | 56c | 230$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Xiaonan | 44c | 227.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Xiaonan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…c82cbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Xiaonan | 40c | 226.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Xiaonan | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Jandiroba | 57c | 215.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…618cbacked Xiaonan | 44c | 214$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jandiroba | 56c | 210$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Xiaonan | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Jandiroba | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Jandiroba | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…aa59backed Jandiroba | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…c74bbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 173.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Xiaonan | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Jandiroba | 59c | 158.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Jandiroba | 62c | 153.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Xiaonan | 38c | 150.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Xiaonan | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…850cbacked Xiaonan | 45c | 133.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Jandiroba | 56c | 130.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Jandiroba | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…41f2backed Xiaonan | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Xiaonan | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Jandiroba | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…e5d4backed Xiaonan | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Xiaonan | 46c | 106.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Jandiroba | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Jandiroba | 56c | 103.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Xiaonan | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Jandiroba | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Jandiroba | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…f97bbacked Xiaonan | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Jandiroba | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Xiaonan | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Jandiroba | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Xiaonan | 42c | 76.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Xiaonan | 44c | 71.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Jandiroba | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…45a2backed Xiaonan | 46c | 64.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Jandiroba | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…8cffbacked Xiaonan | 43c | 62.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jandiroba | 51c | 52.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Xiaonan | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…ac2ebacked Xiaonan | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Jandiroba | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Xiaonan | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…843abacked Xiaonan | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…7336backed Xiaonan | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…9101backed Xiaonan | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Jandiroba | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna Jandirobathis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.