TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57ee…8112

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,868
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1,72718%311 W · 1,416 L+74.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,727 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$98.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+279.3%+$161.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+695.8%+$87.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$127.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Showing 25 of 1,727 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5433.3%18 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.99
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236.01
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$132
Noche UFC: Costa vs. Coriabacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+429.8%+$187.56
UFC 319: Idiris vs. Moralesbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Salkilld vs. Ashmouzbacked Ashmouz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Mederos vs. Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.7
Erosa vs. Costabacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$18.7
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.4
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$658.17
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Bangladesh Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.74
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Bangladesh Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.28
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Sri Lanka Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.21
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultans - Toss Match Double Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Toss Match Double Rajasthan Royals Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.89
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?backed Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$78.49
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Toss Match Double Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.33
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Toss Match Double Italy Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.95
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Team Top Batter Italy Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.75
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Toss Match Double USA Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$821
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Toss Match Double Vanuatu Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$320.56
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Toss Match Double Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.4
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Toss Match Double Nepal Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+129%+$896.07
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans - Toss Match Double Rawalpindi Pindiz Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.37
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans - Toss Match Double Multan Sultans Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.18
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars - Most Sixes Peshawar Zalmi Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.08
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars - Toss Match Double Lahore Qalandars Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$283.69
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars - Toss Match Double Drawbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.07
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars - Toss Match Double Peshawar Zalmi Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$280.98
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Most Sixes Sweden Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.07
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Toss Match Double Indonesia Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$374.91
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Toss Match Double Drawbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$280.76
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Most Sixes Indonesia Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$280.76
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Toss Match Double Sweden Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.07
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+261.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick10cpaid+389.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Iran Nuke in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Comesana vs. Pellegrino: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+103.6%+$18.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Saric win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Orleans Saints draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.