Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1aac3e2040d7125de3a6690789b0075629b61d7a43603414925176578682d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Vici Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 28,296$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,230.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 14,682$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 13,900$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,289.59 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 9,670$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.5 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 7,815$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.2 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 6,358$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.16 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 4,159$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.69 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 3,012$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 2,878$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.22 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,817$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.05 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,629$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,998$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,926$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,469$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.16 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,300$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,261$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.4 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,247$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.32 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,239$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,191$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.4 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,027$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.93 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,018$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.22 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 993.31$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 981.12$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 975.47$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.81 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 973.54$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 968.3$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 960.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 899.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 845.45$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.82 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 598.16$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 576.8$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 536.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 517.92$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 517.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 487.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 481.77$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 432.21$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…daefbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 374.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 369.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 365.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 343.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 342.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 323.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 312.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 299.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 292.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 258.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 257.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 231.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 218.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 216.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 208.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 202.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 193.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 182.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 148.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 8c | 146.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 145.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 141.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 133.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 118.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 104.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 99.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 98.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 96.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 94.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 83.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 79.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 66.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 62.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 60.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 58.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 53.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…cae3backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 51.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.