Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db5275ce59870ff6614faf6d3c350065e170e0043e6188397ddc7a292964ef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 59,656$31,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,582.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 45,560$28,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,198.17 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 43,779$19,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,170.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 22,738$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,666.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 11,653$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.17 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 9,307$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.64 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,725$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.68 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 6,226$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.86 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,933$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.57 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 5,850$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.48 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 5,717$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,303$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,072$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.25 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,940$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.53 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 4,894$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.07 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 4,663$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 4,599$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,125$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.12 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 4,124$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,044$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.94 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,730$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.9 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 3,370$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.28 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 3,194$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.44 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,189$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.46 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 3,144$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.35 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 3,129$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.23 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 3,000$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.92 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 2,962$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,957$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.8 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,957$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.34 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,941$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.66 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,888$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,665$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.45 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,623$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.4 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,501$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,467$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.33 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,281$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 2,256$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,162$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 2,134$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.35 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,014$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,003$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,981$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.46 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,978$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.85 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,972$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.49 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,928$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.66 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,917$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.64 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,857$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,825$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.97 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,823$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…467abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5c…3db4backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,607$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,597$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.37 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,589$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.16 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,525$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.52 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,508$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.23 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,475$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,444$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.53 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,338$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,334$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.33 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,263$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,248$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.21 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,187$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,090$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,088$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.31 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,081$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.03 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,060$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.94 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,039$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.27 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,019$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.8 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,018$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 967$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 966.1$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.42 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 955.47$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.42 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 942$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 897.97$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 870.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.67 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 868.01$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.48 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 851.82$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.11 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 799.7$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.61 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 795.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 794.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 787.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.44 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 756.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.19 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 747.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.