Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a6bc9d7faca55ff2c6e375b879be744b30ffee398602b593b1e95d8c2d89ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 102,483$52,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,013.46 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 31,360$15,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,096.17 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 28,551$15,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,475.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 27,700$14,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,563.01 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 17,416$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 15,519$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,341.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 14,452$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.66 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 9,620$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.27 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 9,264$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.18 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 9,000$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 8,555$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.75 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 8,071$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.28 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 6,783$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 5,894$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 5,635$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.05 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 5,371$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.51 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 5,007$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.87 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 4,424$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.39 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 4,133$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.82 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 3,999$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.69 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,764$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.25 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 3,700$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.95 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 3,669$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.61 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 3,669$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.27 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 3,445$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 3,177$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.15 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 3,087$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.21 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 3,082$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.06 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,989$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.18 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,606$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.33 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 2,287$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,188$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,080$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.18 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,998$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.07 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,979$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,961$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 1,781$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,718$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,677$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,668$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,580$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.98 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,565$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,514$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.89 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,510$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.63 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,492$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.85 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,430$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 1,409$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.55 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,290$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 1,284$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,260$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.66 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 1,230$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.16 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,207$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.46 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,123$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,109$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.79 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,102$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.85 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,043$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.94 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,042$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.86 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 997.67$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 982.35$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 981.21$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 954.84$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 944.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 895.53$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.05 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 870.3$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 851.12$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.16 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 820.95$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 820$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 819.81$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 794.53$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 758.15$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 736.27$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 722.13$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.88 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 705.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 677.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 660.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 658.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 634.74$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 623.98$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 600.8$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 599.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 530$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 522.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 513.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.