TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ab2…b321

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.05
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$151.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.49
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.27
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$179.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
LoL: Myth Esports vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.32
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$536.31
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$665.88
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168.89
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.6
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.96
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$80.09
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+318.7%+$34.25
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.37
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$134.92
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.32
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$51.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.92
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.04
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$80.64
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.63
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.2
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.19
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.52
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.22
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.79
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.91
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$208.96
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.01
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.75
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.64
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$228.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.99
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$102.76
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.44
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.48
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.14
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.36
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.25
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.96
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$206.56
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$16.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$24.24
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+421.4%+$138.53
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Moez Echargui vs Cristian Garinbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,125
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$792.68
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$179.4
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Robert Strombachsbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.16
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.56
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.76
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.62
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.04
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.48
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$213.89
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$1,356.11
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$198.36
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stagebacked Washed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.15
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.04
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$205.23
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$144.71
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$207.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$694.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$280.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$124.8
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.25
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.13
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$677.04
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.38
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$827.2
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$808.64
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.74
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,408
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.73
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+199.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+148.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.92
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gokhan Saricam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$284.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.