South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d595f952188236eaa3506703fd6a3c4ffe7dc42080af96c2b630f4e92c9a3f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 43c | 2,450$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.46 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 57c | 1,807$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.07 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 56c | 808.3$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.71 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Over | 57c | 489$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 410.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.54 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 407.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 391.32$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 336.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 323.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 65c | 273.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 270.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 70c | 235.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 220.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 45c | 215.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 48c | 199.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 192.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 149.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 148.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 48c | 118.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 113.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 95.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 55c | 83.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 80.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 56c | 72.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 65c | 60.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 60.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 65c | 60.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 65c | 60.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 56c | 52.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 35.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 33c | 33.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 25.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 43c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Over | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 63c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 71c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Juventud won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CA Juventud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.