South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae63ceebeb72edc599f078104ef3a61de54eb99e348937776f617ce59381589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Juventudof CA Mineiro, CA Juventud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked CA Mineiro | 50c | 7,955$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Juventud | 50c | 2,996$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.3 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked CA Juventud | 50c | 1,395$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Juventud | 51c | 922.92$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Juventud | 57c | 900.38$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed CA Juventud | 49c | 789.44$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed CA Juventud | 49c | 426.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Juventud | 48c | 407.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed CA Juventud | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Mineiro | 49c | 339.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed CA Mineiro | 41c | 299.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CA Juventud | 50c | 253.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Juventud | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Juventud | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CA Juventud | 50c | 203.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked CA Mineiro | 52c | 186.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed CA Mineiro | 54c | 180.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Juventud | 47c | 153.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked CA Mineiro | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked CA Mineiro | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed CA Mineiro | 52c | 96.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed CA Juventud | 48c | 81.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Juventud | 46c | 79.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed CA Mineiro | 49c | 59.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CA Mineiro | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed CA Mineiro | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Mineiro | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CA Mineiro | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CA Mineiro | 43c | 28.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CA Juventud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.