TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd705…fb7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
468
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT32536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 325 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked pugdesonesto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Abacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$58.32
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,111.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.72
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$2,185.31
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$2,844.68
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.71
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.35
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.69
Showing 25 of 325 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT5234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$41.79
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.07
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$371.85
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.67
Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.04
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.55
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.91
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.55
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.02
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.48
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.26
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.97
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$641.48
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.95
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,874
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$1,432.55
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Magic (-16.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,973
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,787.78
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,882.17
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.7
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$3,222.67
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,508.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.3
CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.45
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,973.82
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,960.61
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,579.77
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.51
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,060
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$1,448.18
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$2,204.6
Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$905.56
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.9
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,253.5
Clube do Remo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)backed EC Vitória · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.9
Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)backed CS Independiente Rivadavia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.88
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.93
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.65
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.54
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$329.45
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$119.71
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.98
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.21
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.82
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.65
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.76
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880.95
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$3,117.62
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,256.65
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$1,048.95
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.72
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.76
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.89
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.92
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,653.04
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$1,984
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.39
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.5%+$61.5
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$74.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+147.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Peter Makk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.77
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+216.6%+$1,250.53
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+1,193.5%+$9,508.72
Oeiras 3: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.74
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.02
Gauff vs. Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+270.4%+$86.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.05
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,835
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+156.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$100.62
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+110.6%+$99.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,453.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,866.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$3,583.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.