NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd80c6f89aed1126b952263699ba2b818fcea3bf04e91a1fe739ecb4192038b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 50c | 74,257$37,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,129.54 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 48,324$24,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,228.67 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 50c | 43,198$21,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,555.07 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 49c | 18,805$9,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,507.07 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pistons | 51c | 18,771$9,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,197.79 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 51c | 11,822$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,099$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 52c | 10,808$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c01…1b91backed Pistons | 50c | 10,001$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…cb3abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Pistons | 50c | 9,905$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Pistons | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,285$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 56c | 8,971$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.83 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…7b56backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,862$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 51c | 7,624$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 40c | 7,416$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,399$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.71 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 6,394$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 53c | 5,980$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Pistons | 44c | 5,881$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons | 53c | 5,437$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.61 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 53c | 5,174$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,758$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.5 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Timberwolves | 66c | 4,700$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,358$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.48 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 52c | 4,347$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.78 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 51c | 3,837$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.26 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 41c | 3,795$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,715$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.61 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Pistons | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,022$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.95 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.78 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,905$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.64 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,819$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.62 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,772$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Pistons | 58c | 2,566$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.84 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.69 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 58c | 1,995$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,959$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,899$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.39 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 52c | 1,750$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.41 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Pistons | 79c | 1,501$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.08 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,494$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.16 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Pistons | 52c | 1,367$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,264$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.36 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,119$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.48 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,020$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.46 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 983.66$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.81 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 50c | 980.23$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Timberwolves | 50c | 969.5$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Timberwolves | 50c | 964.18$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 50c | 951.91$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 57c | 885.26$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 48c | 872.37$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…c943backed Timberwolves | 50c | 843.9$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Timberwolves | 48c | 797.27$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.64 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 784.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 49c | 768.25$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 768.13$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Pistons | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 50c | 696.04$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.73 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Pistons | 61c | 641.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Timberwolves | 50c | 633.62$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.81 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 6c | 606$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Timberwolves | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pistons | 50c | 549.17$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons | 54c | 534$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons | 53c | 515.7$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 505.56$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.64 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 500.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Pistons | 57c | 487.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pistons | 53c | 456.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 420.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Timberwolves | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons | 50c | 386.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…bff5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 380.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pistons | 50c | 370.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Timberwolves | 11c | 369.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Pistons | 58c | 365.55$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PistonsPistons won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.