NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72382f3d3bc47dbdb2d95d8c4cc33b55b47de641958c78688c24316b45741d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Pistons, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 50c | 20,005$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,002.5 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,520$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,760 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 7,885$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.72 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 74c | 6,107$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 51c | 5,024$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.13 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,141$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.49 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,863$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pistons | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 47c | 992.55$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.58 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 47c | 988.94$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.03 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Pistons | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Pistons | 49c | 806.56$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 49c | 779.26$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.7 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 50c | 591.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 52c | 578.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 535.5$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Pistons | 49c | 379.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons | 49c | 342.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0e59backed Pistons | 56c | 281.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 49c | 243.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Timberwolves | 49c | 219.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Pistons | 50c | 213.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Pistons | 50c | 210.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 54c | 181.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 53c | 156.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Pistons | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 148.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 123.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Pistons | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons | 59c | 116.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Pistons | 53c | 111.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 102.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pistons | 50c | 98.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pistons | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pistons | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Pistons | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Pistons | 54c | 82.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Timberwolves | 58c | 81.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Pistons | 17c | 80.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Pistons | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 79.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pistons | 38c | 79.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pistons | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Pistons | 49c | 65.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Pistons | 46c | 60.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Timberwolves | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Pistons | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 51c | 51.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Pistons | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…4a38backed Timberwolves | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Pistons | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Pistons | 48c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 47c | 40.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 36.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Pistons | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Pistons | 36c | 29.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…3269backed Timberwolves | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Timberwolves | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PistonsPistons won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.