TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over45c14,438$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.0548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c5,637$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.011,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c4,745$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c2,937$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.151,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under45c2,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.982634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c2,378$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,689$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over21c1,036$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4124138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over55c940.84$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.361,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c698.61$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c698.11$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under53c693.37$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2624247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c686.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3731354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c569.74$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.211,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under53c550.82$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.316050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…449dbacked Over51c548.1$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.532166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c528.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.652,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c514.73$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c434.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c430.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c424.78$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under55c412.78$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Under56c361.62$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.114271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over27c359.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c345.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Over49c342.26$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.713141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c321.83$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over26c307.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under55c277.31$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under53c265.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over51c246.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.736858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c243.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under52c220.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over50c203.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8523435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.465651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c192.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Under51c191.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.913253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c187.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c187.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c177.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.451,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c171.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3526755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over45c161.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c156.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c148.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2134247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under49c135.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c128.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c122.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over48c121.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over51c115.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0214852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Over51c114.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.242433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under54c112.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over46c108.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c2b…c1a3backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.533554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.516651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c94.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over54c92.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over54c88.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over52c84.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.79854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over54c77.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c74.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c72.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8819550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…00a0backed Under55c67.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over18c67.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9129449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over45c66.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.887051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.518157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de5…1139backed Under43c49.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Over45c45.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under52c45.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6423840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Under43c44.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.353850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c43.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Over46c43.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Over46c41.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14160%0 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under56c40.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under37c36.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over46c36.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over51c32.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Under48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7411659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f14…2573backed Over50c30.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c29.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c29.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under55c29.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0719360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over46c24.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under69c24.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4816369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under55c23.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5171752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.