NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3605aeb146aefb57af089728adef0b25f634ace96e26ead4728323f585cff700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 58c | 25,686$14,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.97 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pistons | 55c | 17,882$9,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,046.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pistons | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.88 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Timberwolves | 45c | 12,132$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.32 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Timberwolves | 42c | 9,049$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.92 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons | 64c | 7,399$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.74 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 6,133$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 44c | 3,940$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 3,927$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.18 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 3,334$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 36c | 3,169$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pistons | 60c | 2,427$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.86 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 37c | 2,377$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 60c | 2,119$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.2 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,031$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.05 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,978$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.79 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,973$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.84 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,868$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Pistons | 55c | 1,777$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Pistons | 57c | 1,710$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.76 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Pistons | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.66 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 55c | 1,292$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.97 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,274$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,271$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,267$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.94 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,110$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,084$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.54 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.53 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,021$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Timberwolves | 46c | 939.14$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 42c | 917.63$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 887.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.59 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 791.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Pistons | 54c | 747.23$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 40c | 696.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 53c | 687.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Timberwolves | 35c | 686.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 54c | 683.06$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves | 42c | 637.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 44c | 629.77$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 57c | 626.51$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 605.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 46c | 564.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 564.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 555.72$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…449dbacked Pistons | 52c | 532.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Pistons | 68c | 528.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 525.85$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Timberwolves | 44c | 500.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 446.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…a2efbacked Pistons | 62c | 395.27$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 371.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Pistons | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 329.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Pistons | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 312.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 306.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 54c | 295.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 282.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 44c | 248.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…9d76backed Pistons | 55c | 243.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 242.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Timberwolves | 35c | 240.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pistons | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Pistons | 80c | 235.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Pistons | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Timberwolves | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pistons | 52c | 198.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Pistons | 60c | 194.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Pistons | 62c | 190.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Timberwolves | 45c | 189.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pistons | 58c | 188.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 162.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Timberwolves | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 142.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 43c | 135.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Pistons | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Timberwolves | 46c | 132.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Timberwolves | 46c | 127.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 46c | 123.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Pistons | 61c | 122.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Timberwolves | 46c | 121.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 114.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Pistons | 56c | 109.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 106.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Pistons | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PistonsPistons won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.