NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f649b9db428a4e89b1531d5fbbfaff3f5fc9895be3a2d4f6f49f6d82f402e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 17,294$8,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,347.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 6,085$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.35 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 3,653$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 2,601$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.87 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 2,601$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.87 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 71c | 1,065$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 25c | 930.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 850.65$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.96 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 33c | 578.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 543.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 307.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 302.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 148.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 48c | 145.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 145.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 49c | 138.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Over | 50c | 107.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 98.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 48c | 81.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 36c | 79.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 61.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 53c | 55.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 44.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed Over | 70c | 41.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 30c | 40.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Over | 48c | 37.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 35.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 53c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PistonsPistons won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.