TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c10,444$5,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,349.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c9,813$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.271,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c7,170$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over45c2,666$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.121,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under53c2,369$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.4319359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under54c2,336$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.7814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over51c2,190$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.6719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,158$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over44c2,114$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.971,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.414355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over60c1,954$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.912,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c1,763$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.651,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c1,678$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.7690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c951.27$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under52c655.56$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.674946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Under52c588.32$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c585.17$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under53c574.28$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c561.03$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over47c551.09$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e9…5081backed Under54c534.82$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c517.67$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c456.32$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.368453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d5…bff5backed Under54c360.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c326.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over47c316.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c278.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under58c267.23$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2462546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over46c266.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c252.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c244.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.263,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c204.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under52c204.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c203.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c188.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over46c179.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under54c161.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.058052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c156.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under71c152.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6310850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under54c152.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over29c150.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over38c150.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over46c145.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over44c121.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under59c116.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under53c110.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.85653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over15c100.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c99.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…8087backed Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over46c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Under53c71.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3912146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c70.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a5…6bc4backed Over48c69.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over46c62.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under52c58.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9716651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c54.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.518157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c48.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c45.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over39c37.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c37.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under53c36.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.297945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…2eaabacked Over43c35.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c34.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under60c33.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5316369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6ab…5a48backed Under61c32.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe64e…73f9backed Over51c32.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over50c31.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5211845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf1…a0efbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.222044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Over46c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.874936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c29.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Under53c29.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over57c28.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under46c27.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under53c22.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.459159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under61c22.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.697650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d46…fa33backed Over56c21.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under78c21.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6517553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…99a0backed Under52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a82…491bbacked Under61c19.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf2…442bbacked Over57c17.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under59c17.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Under77c13.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.011513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.