TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x695f…1b67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$67.56
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$72.17
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.13
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.85
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.31
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.91
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.05
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$17.15
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$82.27
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.51
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.79
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$14.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.81
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.43
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.99
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.73
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.