TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,958,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,275,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,958,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No53c1,695,237$899,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795,972.7474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No48c1,374,407$655,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718,577.3833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed No49c869,103$426,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442,646.942040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c866,992$665,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,126.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes56c740,053$414,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414,429.725749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes52c517,655$269,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269,180.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes24c514,619$122,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,781.375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes52c500,000$260,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,00015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked No44c454,296$198,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,948.772040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes53c368,534$195,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,323.2211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…c044backed Yes16c356,707$58,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,640.21911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Yes51c334,700$170,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,697.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes51c333,084$171,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,203.6118740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes29c319,603$92,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,317.117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes12c317,562$36,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,858.1426320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes52c302,835$157,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,621.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No45c300,702$135,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,385.96939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes50c300,660$150,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,329.776543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed No44c300,000$132,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,999.982729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c295,475$147,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,737.2710740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No46c288,722$132,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,909.717941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes41c283,856$117,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,490.61,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed Yes1c270,754$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.781816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+111.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Yes6c247,159$14,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,783.5222338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked No50c242,220$121,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,190.238521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f7…c804backed Yes52c240,000$125,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,599.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No74c232,953$172,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,907.815844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c229,328$52,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,170.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No49c215,986$105,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,003.054252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c182,875$28,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,661.3979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Yes57c170,000$96,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,900650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes1c168,709$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0654528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes55c163,230$89,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,058.7415456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No46c162,396$74,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,858.7816835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes41c149,000$60,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,93013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Yes3c140,000$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4302814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-61%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes1c133,975$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.476819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes9c132,273$11,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,284.6325821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes56c123,582$69,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,205.7219332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes48c122,418$58,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,581.195322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes50c116,334$58,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,167.248932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes2c115,747$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.3451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No50c113,000$56,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,605.9522139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Yes11c107,243$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5002626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No44c100,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked No43c100,000$43,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,999.83534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No48c99,999$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,999.473534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c95,429$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes25c94,081$23,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,152.6165835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes56c90,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No62c86,087$53,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,540.4123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes52c84,000$43,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,615329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Yes53c82,179$43,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,554.722466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes22c80,000$17,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,475.315939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c78,707$50,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,202.0156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0e…99b4backed Yes53c73,045$38,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,713.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+80.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes1c72,395$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.197416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes56c72,000$40,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,32012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes19c65,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.946048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes33c64,942$21,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,596.854327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes42c62,013$25,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,789.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed No48c61,500$29,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,1808135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes44c59,498$26,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,395.4177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No75c59,471$44,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,850.1914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e2…46ecbacked Yes56c55,107$30,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,859.741428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes12c54,345$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.3831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked Yes52c52,000$27,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,0401154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes38c52,000$19,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,779.964355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c51,731$24,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb68…9bf0backed Yes3c51,324$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.911540%6 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+192.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a2…630bbacked Yes14c50,349$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,162.971747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+172%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Yes14c50,307$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.3959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes51c49,738$25,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,408.9129916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No48c49,558$23,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,792.917343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes57c46,000$26,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,2202934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes3c45,727$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.86622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c44,902$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.41953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c44,029$20,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,014.031,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c41,923$20,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,922.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed No64c41,780$26,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,902.848037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes20c41,585$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No67c40,715$27,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,309.7826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes49c40,540$19,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,864.5342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes7c40,165$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.934122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,80010056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked No49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,400966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0288…e926backed Yes38c39,175$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,993.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+95.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c38,183$17,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,246.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes12c37,614$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4444341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes52c37,585$19,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,543.953036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994a…b5f9backed Yes1c37,051$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.281414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No59c36,916$21,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,230.3577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No48c36,409$17,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,785.3724028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes33c35,462$11,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,667.3424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes57c35,088$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…58b2backed Yes0c34,326$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.