Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41f543ccb7a1a35a200c28096cc2e5c2351c54546087f4f6cf5c4ef3e0c1aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,958,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,275,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,958,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 53c | 1,695,237$899,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795,972.74 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 48c | 1,374,407$655,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718,577.38 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed No | 49c | 869,103$426,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442,646.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 866,992$665,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,126.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 56c | 740,053$414,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414,429.72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes | 52c | 517,655$269,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269,180.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 514,619$122,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,781.3 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 52c | 500,000$260,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,000 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked No | 44c | 454,296$198,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,948.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 53c | 368,534$195,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,323.22 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…c044backed Yes | 16c | 356,707$58,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,640.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 51c | 334,700$170,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,697.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 51c | 333,084$171,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,203.61 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 29c | 319,603$92,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,317.1 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 12c | 317,562$36,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,858.14 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 302,835$157,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,621.86 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 45c | 300,702$135,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,385.9 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 50c | 300,660$150,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,329.77 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed No | 44c | 300,000$132,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,999.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 50c | 295,475$147,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,737.27 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 46c | 288,722$132,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,909.71 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 283,856$117,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,490.6 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 1c | 270,754$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 6c | 247,159$14,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,783.52 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 50c | 242,220$121,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,190.23 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…c804backed Yes | 52c | 240,000$125,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,599.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 74c | 232,953$172,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,907.8 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 229,328$52,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,170.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 49c | 215,986$105,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,003.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 182,875$28,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,661.39 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Yes | 57c | 170,000$96,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 1c | 168,709$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 55c | 163,230$89,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,058.74 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 46c | 162,396$74,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,858.78 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 41c | 149,000$60,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,930 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Yes | 3c | 140,000$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 1c | 133,975$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.47 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 9c | 132,273$11,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,284.63 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 56c | 123,582$69,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,205.72 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 48c | 122,418$58,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,581.19 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 116,334$58,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,167.24 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 2c | 115,747$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.34 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 50c | 113,000$56,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,605.95 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…e704backed Yes | 11c | 107,243$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 48c | 99,999$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 95,429$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 94,081$23,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,152.61 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 56c | 90,000$50,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 62c | 86,087$53,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,540.41 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 52c | 84,000$43,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,615 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Yes | 53c | 82,179$43,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,554.72 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 22c | 80,000$17,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,475.31 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 64c | 78,707$50,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,202.01 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…99b4backed Yes | 53c | 73,045$38,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,713.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 1c | 72,395$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.19 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 56c | 72,000$40,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,320 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Yes | 19c | 65,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes | 33c | 64,942$21,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,596.85 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 42c | 62,013$25,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,789.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 48c | 61,500$29,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,180 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 44c | 59,498$26,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,395.41 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 75c | 59,471$44,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,850.19 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…46ecbacked Yes | 56c | 55,107$30,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,859.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 12c | 54,345$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.38 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…59bfbacked Yes | 52c | 52,000$27,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,040 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 38c | 52,000$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,779.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 51,731$24,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,075 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…9bf0backed Yes | 3c | 51,324$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…630bbacked Yes | 14c | 50,349$7,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,162.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 14c | 50,307$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,242.39 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 51c | 49,738$25,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,408.91 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 48c | 49,558$23,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,792.91 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes | 57c | 46,000$26,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,220 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 3c | 45,727$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.8 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 1c | 44,902$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 44,029$20,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,014.03 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 41,923$20,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,922.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 64c | 41,780$26,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,902.84 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 20c | 41,585$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 67c | 40,715$27,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,309.78 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 49c | 40,540$19,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,864.53 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 7c | 40,165$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.9 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…389ebacked No | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 38c | 39,175$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 38,183$17,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,246.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 12c | 37,614$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 52c | 37,585$19,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,543.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994a…b5f9backed Yes | 1c | 37,051$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 59c | 36,916$21,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,230.35 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 48c | 36,409$17,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,785.37 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 33c | 35,462$11,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,667.34 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…58b2backed Yes | 0c | 34,326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will France vs. England end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.