TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x379f…7d70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT21056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Katrina Scottbacked Katie Swan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
US Open, Qualification WTA: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephensbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.98
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,999.94
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50,000
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$57,532.08
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.4
Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.1
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$123.23
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.79
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.19
Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$235.2
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$35.8
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$24
Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)backed Pumas de la UNAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.6
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$110.4
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.8
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.66
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.