South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd74873d64030ef3e53a299ec09e2db3334baa713d6b588e24daf9ef3153cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 75,692$58,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,216.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 25,802$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 21,247$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 19,127$14,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.07 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 13,289$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 25c | 10,320$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.15 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 7,169$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.36 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 6,458$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 74c | 6,092$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.58 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 23c | 3,975$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,609$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 2,461$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 22c | 994.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Yes | 1c | 937.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 26c | 860.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 799.99$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 13c | 714$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 24c | 573$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 454$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…9038backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 25c | 384$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 366$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 10c | 344.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked No | 74c | 290.11$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 79c | 220.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes | 23c | 211.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b8…4fa4backed Yes | 23c | 173.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 150.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…048cbacked No | 78c | 116.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 109.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 74c | 104.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 21c | 103.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 12c | 98.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 14c | 94.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 79c | 75.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Yes | 27c | 73.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +139%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Yes | 19c | 71.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 24c | 67.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 65.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 23c | 60.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 26c | 60.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 53.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 47.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 31.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…99ebbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.