Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b03a5fb3b402673f276c3cc1c5be924122c8eb6ba1de70647580fa16b84ffa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 44c | 5,868$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.49 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,453$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.58 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 36c | 1,310$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 28c | 1,158$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 937.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 33c | 749.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 32c | 699.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 699.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.79 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 681.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 654.51$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 591.89$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 569.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 70c | 567.36$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 70c | 554.9$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.16 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 538$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 509.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 64c | 501.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 57c | 487$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 42c | 480.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 407.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 25c | 372.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 353.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 352.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 39c | 351.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 38c | 348.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 348.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 62c | 317.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 60c | 311.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 310.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 309.53$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 33c | 305$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 65c | 283.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 32c | 268.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Yes | 73c | 262.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 261.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 28c | 243.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 37c | 223$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 22c | 222.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 222.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 221.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 43c | 215.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…bea2backed Yes | 29c | 211.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 47c | 207.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 195.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 72c | 189.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 59c | 185.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 184.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 179.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 40c | 175.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 79c | 157$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 64c | 155.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…2adcbacked No | 66c | 153.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed No | 43c | 149.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 15c | 149.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 64c | 145.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 144.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…7573backed Yes | 12c | 140.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 44c | 139.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 20c | 139.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 55c | 133.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…ca4fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…8deabacked Yes | 76c | 131.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 34c | 127.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…46e7backed Yes | 15c | 125.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 66c | 123.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 122.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e91ebacked Yes | 66c | 121.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 56c | 119.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 119.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 47c | 116.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 60c | 114.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…f007backed Yes | 42c | 114.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 35c | 111.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 45c | 110.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 66c | 108.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 45c | 104.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 104.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…2a2bbacked Yes | 57c | 103.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Yes | 35c | 103.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 102.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 59c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed Yes | 68c | 100.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…a6e4backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…f2fbbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…9528backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.