Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f54544730b49ac9f8a168f439afac4076d5bee585a945e24b33605495cf905d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 31c | 1,822$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 25c | 1,652$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.21 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 9c | 1,546$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 23c | 889.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 73c | 864.11$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 26c | 770$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 18c | 512.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 502.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 460.77$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 454.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 418.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 396.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 383.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 28c | 383.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 23c | 376.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 355$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 345.28$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 288.63$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 25c | 283.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 280.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 79c | 255.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 25c | 230.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 75c | 228.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…46e7backed Yes | 26c | 205.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 73c | 189.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 182$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 32c | 179.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 161.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 156.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 10c | 156.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 28c | 155.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 76c | 155.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 70c | 147.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 145.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 24c | 144.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…4b39backed Yes | 29c | 130.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 117.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 112.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 80c | 109.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…1a9bbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 76c | 92.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 18c | 91.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 26c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 87.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Yes | 14c | 81.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 77.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 24c | 77.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 73c | 76.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 32c | 70.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed No | 79c | 64.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 62.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 23c | 60.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 78c | 54.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 23c | 52.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 75c | 51.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…aa54backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed No | 72c | 48.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 26c | 46.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 30c | 45.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 72c | 44.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 75c | 44.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 42.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a84fbacked Yes | 32c | 40.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 74c | 40.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 39.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 77c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.