TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35fb…8511

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT25135.1%88 W · 163 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 251 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$48.63
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$55.78
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$103.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.79
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.88
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+796.6%+$352.55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.12
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$51.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$46.42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$325.24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$6.34
Showing 25 of 251 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5644.6%25 W · 31 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$86.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$145.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.04
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$115.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$201.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$132.75
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+191.6%+$206.35
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+99%+$174.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+531%+$89.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+148%+$572.08
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.3
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$383.9
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.7
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.7
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$43.87
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$106.72
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scroll airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.