AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3616e2f2cd616de0614c3c7a0fe1e791c93de320fef017a496b723fcbceefce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 8,404$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.44 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 35c | 7,810$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.52 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 49c | 6,932$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.17 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 5,368$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 34c | 5,281$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.14 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed Yes | 68c | 4,165$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 4,021$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.37 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…c6ebbacked Yes | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 34c | 3,317$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 44c | 3,249$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.06 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 66c | 2,917$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 2,897$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.32 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…f534backed Yes | 53c | 2,670$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,511$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 72c | 2,500$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 2,367$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…faf0backed Yes | 79c | 2,229$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…169fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,220$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…c929backed Yes | 63c | 2,172$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 2,065$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.1 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…6629backed Yes | 54c | 2,064$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 1,896$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.7 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 1,859$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.13 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 70c | 1,839$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.07 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…4126backed Yes | 67c | 1,790$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 37c | 1,714$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,706$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…fe89backed Yes | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9c…32e2backed Yes | 73c | 1,649$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 7c | 1,609$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 68c | 1,568$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.03 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 37c | 1,420$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.29 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 41c | 1,287$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…bdc1backed Yes | 44c | 1,262$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…2555backed Yes | 53c | 1,198$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 32c | 1,170$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…79d4backed Yes | 57c | 1,118$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 36c | 1,112$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 47c | 1,100$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…88cabacked Yes | 38c | 1,092$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…44a9backed Yes | 45c | 1,011$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…ea7abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed No | 60c | 996.99$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 985.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…7b9cbacked Yes | 44c | 907.1$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…9db4backed Yes | 34c | 893.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…366ebacked Yes | 38c | 852.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed No | 54c | 832.77$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 43c | 820.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 795.88$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…8884backed Yes | 58c | 795.51$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 74c | 795.08$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 54c | 740.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 50c | 695.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…5c1bbacked Yes | 28c | 685.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d1c3backed Yes | 58c | 684.13$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 25c | 682.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 34c | 673.42$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked Yes | 48c | 671.41$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 670.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.76 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 666.34$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…7030backed Yes | 31c | 649.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +373.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…1b7fbacked Yes | 27c | 642.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 47c | 624.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…5696backed Yes | 77c | 618.91$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…6ba4backed Yes | 71c | 617.17$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 38c | 610.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 599.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed No | 45c | 596.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 12c | 593.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 60c | 586.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 58c | 586.26$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 67c | 585.48$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.93 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…3a87backed Yes | 33c | 571.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…1326backed Yes | 65c | 569.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…c60dbacked Yes | 79c | 549.79$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7137backed Yes | 55c | 547.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 532.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…3fd3backed Yes | 64c | 521.95$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Yes | 60c | 512.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…406ebacked Yes | 56c | 504.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 61c | 499.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 476.47$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…b296backed Yes | 64c | 469.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Yes | 33c | 464.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 65c | 462.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…b65ebacked Yes | 66c | 453.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 70c | 448.62$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 432.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 58c | 414$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Yes | 60c | 408.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 21c | 406.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 52c | 378.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 49c | 367.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…b6febacked Yes | 73c | 349.04$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 29c | 345.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.