TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24c5…923d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.19
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$425.78
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.71
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$347.61
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.36
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,616.69
Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$251.35
Will 'Fortnight' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$101.08
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+588.1%+$7,985.66
Taylor Swift #1 album for 8 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
Eminem's "Houdini" debuts #1 on Billboard hot 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$466.07
Taylor Swift #1 album for 6 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$69
Taylor Swift #1 album for 4 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$146.05
Top 10 songs on Billboard all from Taylor Swift?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.64
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Anti-Hero’ by Taylor Swift win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$50
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Kill Bill’ by SZA win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$50
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ’SOS’ by SZA win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+363.4%+$78.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$74.8
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.46
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+169%+$135.29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+320.5%+$484.36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.03
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.61
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.06
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.67
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$20.4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$292
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick31cpaid-89.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.15
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.53
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.62
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.98
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.37
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$244.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.6%+$2,790.61
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.06
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.34
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$41.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$227.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2024, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT+62.7%+$240.82
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+490.2%+$502.64
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$81
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT+172.1%+$34.21
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.03
Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$344.26
Champions League: Man City vs Real Madridbacked Man City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
Will Dortmund win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$334
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$995.99
2024 August hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$317.2
2024 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$47.42
Will May 2024 show an increase greater than 1.30C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$458.5
Will May 2024 show an increase between 1.24°C-1.30°Cbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$747.12
Will May 2024 show an increase between 1.10°C-1.16°Cbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.65
Will April 2024 show an increase between 1.14°C-1.19°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$128.31
Will April 2024 show an increase between 1.20°C-1.25°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$380.12
Will April 2024 show an increase of greater than 1.31°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$183.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.21
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.59
Ethereum all time high by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$156.67
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.21
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+400%+$156.8
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$49.77
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+173.8%+$387.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+114.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+92.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,066.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$376.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.