TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Argentina wins Copa America 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c6b…b250backed Yes63c15,911$10,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c47…2826backed Yes65c14,865$9,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5856…d005backed No37c13,637$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9265…9cd5backed Yes68c8,965$6,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9d…ae8abacked Yes69c8,709$6,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…a87ebacked Yes69c7,245$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes61c4,979$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.166346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed Yes68c4,624$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes53c4,417$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes63c4,367$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes35c3,103$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.346248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes34c2,650$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7495438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578c…9661backed Yes64c2,596$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf16…852bbacked Yes68c2,285$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes53c2,259$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.684831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa464…91f8backed Yes64c2,075$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78012055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8514…360bbacked Yes66c1,983$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed No38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked No40c1,889$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1664…7467backed Yes62c1,855$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes66c1,662$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.129961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f1d…98cdbacked No30c1,615$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No40c1,613$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.479861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c2f…974dbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes60c1,533$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…9434backed Yes68c1,468$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes32c1,411$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.296847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3669…3882backed Yes64c1,322$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.01633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc729…5faabacked Yes41c1,246$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes65c1,195$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.385052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6ea…81e7backed Yes63c1,160$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes51c1,108$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No32c1,045$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.467437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No4c961.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.673023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6601…25f4backed Yes53c940.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e39…d73dbacked Yes68c890.21$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a29…c516backed Yes42c861.06$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c71…aee0backed No58c851.38$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x856e…d41cbacked No38c850.72$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb217…9bcdbacked No59c845.76$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7dd…c5afbacked No60c827.59$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63cc…6e44backed Yes43c813.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2830…d320backed Yes66c756.06$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e81…94bbbacked Yes69c724.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.675923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae2…1a58backed Yes64c689.67$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa867…e2e8backed Yes66c687.88$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No35c649.98$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.996630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes51c641.76$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4615337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes33c636.36$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c5…923dbacked Yes61c625.15$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.821040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6890…a53dbacked Yes63c603.41$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef09…63a8backed Yes45c593.94$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…762ebacked Yes63c551.94$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa08…5b44backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2395…c6f2backed No65c533.67$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…dfc5backed Yes73c527.26$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fea…8f7bbacked Yes66c518.45$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf4…7883backed Yes34c510$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Yes65c509.52$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes56c506.33$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.866026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb394…63d7backed Yes60c499.76$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9bb…015dbacked Yes63c484.94$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.43540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes66c478.27$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a4…dc8fbacked Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc11…5d9abacked Yes54c461.38$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x654e…a669backed Yes65c459.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes44c454.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.541816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Yes61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ed…710ebacked Yes58c400$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ea…c7a2backed Yes35c397$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes64c390$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.410554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0c…ed5abacked Yes53c380$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No49c379.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.923948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…557ebacked Yes65c378.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes66c377.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.833122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b87…f931backed Yes60c346.67$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb114…6f88backed Yes43c344.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f44…59cebacked No38c343.68$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…d582backed Yes64c343.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…74d9backed Yes36c335.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Yes76c321.23$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff4…2b03backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb71a…be99backed Yes65c316.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked No64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes51c308.17$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd9…6333backed Yes65c307.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes66c301.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4917945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff0d…3d76backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8155…5377backed Yes61c298$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b51…df04backed Yes63c293.05$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616a…9b71backed Yes51c291.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes65c291.23$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3c…651bbacked Yes63c288.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53b…15b7backed Yes68c285.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No60c285.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2515328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.