TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x765b…9a2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+236.8%+$710.4
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+40.5%+$1,337.12
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,199.77
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+366.2%+$1,830.76
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$388.24
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+887.3%+$449.36
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.47
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.06
Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will General Motors (GM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.98
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$425
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.84
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$352.17
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+118.1%+$236.28
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$140.85
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$312.82
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$900
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+203%+$406.06
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$771.43
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Spread: Panthers (-5.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$250.26
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$225
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$700
Brazil wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
United States wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,246.9%+$374.08
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.79
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.11
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-85.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$433.55
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$381.82
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$388.24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,191.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.