AI · resolved market
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a461888f0011b1730d74422388d76626b800033eb10a8fff4643984fb9f8806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,483,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,893,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,483,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa0f…ab1cbacked Yes | 4c | 603,300$24,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,897 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…12bebacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 9c | 322,465$28,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,841.37 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 16c | 278,842$43,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,722.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…b581backed Yes | 1c | 138,812$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 16c | 122,303$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 10c | 108,362$10,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,869.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…1476backed Yes | 0c | 101,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 15c | 99,449$14,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,917.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…9193backed Yes | 10c | 96,364$9,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…606bbacked Yes | 10c | 95,661$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,556.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef83…96ecbacked Yes | 10c | 80,080$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…0beebacked Yes | 10c | 76,953$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +244.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…98a5backed Yes | 10c | 73,106$7,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,134.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3562…ae82backed Yes | 22c | 68,150$14,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,935.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…f465backed Yes | 27c | 67,687$18,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,067.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 13c | 67,643$9,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,089.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…ef52backed Yes | 10c | 66,761$6,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbb…7cdbbacked Yes | 2c | 64,044$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 10c | 61,894$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Yes | 9c | 55,688$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 76c | 55,629$42,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,503.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…219cbacked Yes | 13c | 50,007$6,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +230%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…19aebacked Yes | 15c | 50,000$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…c6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 49,300$10,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,047.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 9c | 49,000$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…7311backed Yes | 21c | 48,696$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f4…23d1backed Yes | 2c | 47,733$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 10c | 45,047$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 1c | 42,253$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Yes | 0c | 41,250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 16c | 40,129$6,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 15c | 40,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…003bbacked Yes | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…61e1backed Yes | 27c | 39,323$10,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,435.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…a843backed Yes | 15c | 36,340$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 10c | 32,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 15c | 31,923$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.26 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…3fd4backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…4de0backed Yes | 10c | 29,840$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…697cbacked Yes | 21c | 29,243$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…0ca3backed Yes | 14c | 27,798$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 26,116$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.85 | 259 | 31.7%82 W · 177 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 21c | 24,657$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 9c | 24,534$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1029backed Yes | 11c | 24,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 11c | 23,545$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 15c | 23,502$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 9c | 23,265$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 23,262$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…3676backed Yes | 9c | 23,194$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Yes | 12c | 22,674$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 20c | 22,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 15c | 21,926$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Yes | 25c | 21,858$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…60e3backed Yes | 15c | 21,409$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 9c | 20,571$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.99 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…065bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…f655backed Yes | 21c | 20,455$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 9c | 20,354$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 19c | 20,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd4…4095backed Yes | 9c | 19,071$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…a145backed Yes | 0c | 19,013$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 9c | 19,002$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 22c | 18,919$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 15c | 18,690$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…8983backed Yes | 0c | 17,810$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 9c | 17,768$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.16 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…f40cbacked Yes | 14c | 17,756$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…5ebabacked Yes | 12c | 17,428$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed Yes | 21c | 17,393$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 15c | 16,829$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 17c | 16,724$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 22c | 16,577$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 21c | 16,203$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.97 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…2272backed Yes | 10c | 16,163$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes | 20c | 16,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 79c | 15,586$12,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…40d8backed Yes | 10c | 15,257$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…d0a6backed Yes | 30c | 15,152$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…6d63backed Yes | 0c | 15,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yes | 15c | 14,584$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600a…a6bfbacked Yes | 20c | 14,535$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…0658backed Yes | 1c | 14,493$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 8c | 13,885$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.23 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…0d3bbacked Yes | 7c | 13,494$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 19c | 13,068$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.81 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 8c | 13,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 12,670$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.7 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…22c6backed Yes | 12c | 12,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…0625backed Yes | 20c | 12,475$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…673fbacked Yes | 10c | 12,068$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 10c | 12,059$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 19c | 12,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed Yes | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…c15fbacked Yes | 8c | 11,973$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.